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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Effects on the Economy: Impact of Rising Interest Rates in Canada


Rising interest rates in Canada can have a significant impact on various aspects of the economy. Firstly, higher interest rates can lead to increased borrowing costs for businesses and individuals, making it more expensive to invest or make large purchases such as homes or vehicles. This can potentially slow down economic activity and reduce consumer spending, which is a key driver of growth.


 Additionally, rising interest rates can strengthen the Canadian dollar relative to other currencies, which can negatively affect export-oriented industries by making their products more expensive in foreign markets. Moreover, higher interest rates can attract foreign investors seeking higher returns on their investments, potentially leading to an inflow of foreign capital but also potentially making Canadian exports less competitive. Overall, while rising interest rates can help curb inflation and maintain the stability of the economy in the long run, their short-term impact may include slower economic growth, reduced consumer spending, and potential challenges for export-oriented sectors in Canada.






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