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5 Things to Know Today: Retaliation Tariffs Hit, Oil Spikes on Saudi Strikes

  Tuesday, September 8, 2026 — Your morning rundown of the Canadian financial news that actually affects your wallet. 1. Canada's $27.6B Retaliation Tariffs Take Effect At 12:01 a.m. today, Canada's countermeasures against more than 700 U.S. products came into force, matching Washington's August 22 tariffs dollar-for-dollar. Tariffs on American steel and aluminum double to 50%, while new levies of 15% to 50% now apply to dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, and electronics. A $7.5-billion support package is rolling out for affected Canadian businesses. What it means for you: U.S.-made appliances (fridges, freezers, washers, dryers, ranges) now carry a 25% tariff, and cheese, whey, and milk powder imports jump 25%–50%. Shopping for a new appliance or specialty dairy product? Expect price increases to show up at retail over the coming weeks. 2. Oil Surges to ~$99 on Overnight Saudi Strikes Overnight strikes on Saudi energy facilities pushed Brent crude...

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Are rate hikes over for Canada


The Canadian economy is expected to show a modest growth of 0.4% in the third quarter of 2023, according to the latest estimates from Statistics Canada. This is lower than the 0.6% expansion in the previous quarter, and well below the 2.1% growth rate that the Bank of Canada projected in July.

The weak GDP numbers have fueled the speculation that the country may be heading into a recession, as global trade tensions, lower oil prices, and household debt weigh on the economic outlook. 

However, not everyone is convinced that the situation is so dire. Some forecasters argue that the third quarter slowdown was mainly due to temporary factors, such as a strike at a major auto plant, a drop in agricultural output due to drought, and a slowdown in housing construction. They expect that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter, as these factors dissipate and consumer spending picks up.

Moreover, some forecasters point out that the inflation rate remains within the central bank's target range of 1% to 3%, suggesting that there is no need for further monetary stimulus. They also note that the labour market remains strong, with the unemployment rate at a near-record low of 5.5%, and wage growth at a solid 3.2%.

Therefore, some forecasters believe that the Bank of Canada will maintain its wait-and-see approach, and keep interest rates unchanged until there are clear signs of either a sustained recovery or a prolonged downturn. They argue that the central bank has already done enough to support the economy, by cutting interest rates three times in 2022, and that any further easing could fuel financial imbalances and inflationary pressures.

In summary, the GDP numbers for the third quarter of 2023 are likely to spark more debate about the state of the Canadian economy and the direction of monetary policy. However, some forecasters are more optimistic than others, and think that the rate hikes are over for now, unless there is a significant change in the economic conditions.

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