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Bank of Canada Holds the Line as Global Turmoil Clouds Outlook

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a press conference in Ottawa on September 17, 2025 The Bank of Canada has opted to keep its key interest rate steady at 2.25%, a decision that reflects the delicate balancing act policymakers face as global uncertainty intensifies. With inflationary pressures rising and economic growth showing signs of strain, the central bank is navigating a narrow path shaped by forces largely outside its control. A major driver of the current tension is the surge in oil prices triggered by ongoing geopolitical conflict. Higher energy costs are feeding into broader inflation, raising concerns that price pressures could become more persistent. At the same time, elevated borrowing costs and weakening consumer confidence are weighing on domestic economic momentum. By holding the rate, the Bank of Canada signals caution: it aims to avoid stifling growth while still keeping inflation expectations anchored. The central bank emphasized that it rema...

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Stock Markets Today: Toronto Market Rises Amid Lower Bond Yields

                                             


The Toronto stock market closed at its highest level in two weeks on Wednesday, as investors welcomed the decline in bond yields that eased concerns about inflation and higher borrowing costs. The S&P/TSX composite index gained 0.8% to end the day at 20,872.64 points, led by gains in the energy, financial and industrial sectors. The Canadian dollar also appreciated against its U.S. counterpart, trading at 80.32 cents US, up from 79.96 cents US on Tuesday.

The lower bond yields, which reflect the cost of borrowing for governments and corporations, were driven by a weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation report for September. The annual inflation rate in the U.S. slowed to 5.4% from 5.7% in August, easing some fears that the Federal Reserve would have to tighten its monetary policy sooner than expected. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to 1.53% from 1.59% on Tuesday, while the yield on the Canadian equivalent dropped to 1.41% from 1.47%.

The lower bond yields also boosted the appeal of dividend-paying stocks, such as banks and utilities, which tend to perform well when interest rates are low. The financial sector rose 1.2%, with all six of the major banks posting gains. The energy sector climbed 1.6%, as oil prices rose above $80 US a barrel for the first time since 2014, supported by strong demand and supply disruptions. The industrial sector advanced 0.9%, with shares of Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Railway both up more than 2%.

The positive mood on Bay Street contrasted with a mixed performance on Wall Street, where the Dow Jones industrial average added 0.3% to close at 34,987.02 points, while the S&P 500 index slipped 0.1% to 4,360.03 points and the Nasdaq composite index fell 0.5% to 14,543.13 points. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was weighed down by losses in some of the big-name companies, such as Apple, Amazon and Netflix, which are sensitive to higher interest rates and valuation concerns.

Analysts said that despite the lower bond yields and inflation data, investors remain cautious about the outlook for the global economy amid the ongoing pandemic and supply chain issues that are affecting many industries. They also noted that the earnings season, which kicked off this week with reports from some of the major U.S. banks, will provide more clues about how companies are coping with the challenges and opportunities in the post-Covid world.

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