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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...
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Stock Markets Today: Toronto Market Rises Amid Lower Bond Yields

                                             


The Toronto stock market closed at its highest level in two weeks on Wednesday, as investors welcomed the decline in bond yields that eased concerns about inflation and higher borrowing costs. The S&P/TSX composite index gained 0.8% to end the day at 20,872.64 points, led by gains in the energy, financial and industrial sectors. The Canadian dollar also appreciated against its U.S. counterpart, trading at 80.32 cents US, up from 79.96 cents US on Tuesday.

The lower bond yields, which reflect the cost of borrowing for governments and corporations, were driven by a weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation report for September. The annual inflation rate in the U.S. slowed to 5.4% from 5.7% in August, easing some fears that the Federal Reserve would have to tighten its monetary policy sooner than expected. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to 1.53% from 1.59% on Tuesday, while the yield on the Canadian equivalent dropped to 1.41% from 1.47%.

The lower bond yields also boosted the appeal of dividend-paying stocks, such as banks and utilities, which tend to perform well when interest rates are low. The financial sector rose 1.2%, with all six of the major banks posting gains. The energy sector climbed 1.6%, as oil prices rose above $80 US a barrel for the first time since 2014, supported by strong demand and supply disruptions. The industrial sector advanced 0.9%, with shares of Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Railway both up more than 2%.

The positive mood on Bay Street contrasted with a mixed performance on Wall Street, where the Dow Jones industrial average added 0.3% to close at 34,987.02 points, while the S&P 500 index slipped 0.1% to 4,360.03 points and the Nasdaq composite index fell 0.5% to 14,543.13 points. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was weighed down by losses in some of the big-name companies, such as Apple, Amazon and Netflix, which are sensitive to higher interest rates and valuation concerns.

Analysts said that despite the lower bond yields and inflation data, investors remain cautious about the outlook for the global economy amid the ongoing pandemic and supply chain issues that are affecting many industries. They also noted that the earnings season, which kicked off this week with reports from some of the major U.S. banks, will provide more clues about how companies are coping with the challenges and opportunities in the post-Covid world.

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