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Markets on Edge as Bank of Canada Decides: TSX, Wall Street, and Oil in Focus — June 10, 2026

  All eyes are on Ottawa this morning. The Bank of Canada is set to release its interest rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET today — and while markets widely expect a hold at 2.25% , the accompanying statement from Governor Tiff Macklem will be dissected for any signal about what comes next. Against a backdrop of volatile oil prices, a recent technical recession, and a still-fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire, the stakes are higher than usual. Here's where the major markets stand heading into this pivotal session. 🇨🇦 Canada — TSX & the BoC Decision The S&P/TSX Composite has been navigating choppy waters. After a sharp 2.3% decline on June 5 — triggered by a blowout Canadian jobs report that added 88,000 positions, far exceeding forecasts — the index pulled back to trade near the 34,093 range on Tuesday before recovering somewhat to sit just above 34,500 . That jobs print, combined with a similar U.S. surprise, effectively closed the door on any rate cut hopes and forced a reasse...
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Black Friday shoppers pulling back on spending

 

 According to a survey by the National Retail Federation, Black Friday sales in the U.S. dropped by 28% compared to 2019, as shoppers avoided crowded stores and opted for online shopping instead.

Here ate the main reasons cited for this trend:

  • Online shopping surge: Online sales on Black Friday reached a record $9 billion, up 21.6% from last year, according to Adobe Analytics. Cyber Monday is expected to be the biggest online shopping day in U.S. history, with sales projected to reach $10.8 billion.
  • Pandemic impact: The coronavirus pandemic has changed consumer behavior and preferences, as people seek convenience, safety, and value. Many retailers have extended their sales period and offered curbside pickup or free delivery options to attract customers.
  • Holiday season outlook: Despite the lower turnout on Black Friday, the NRF predicts that overall holiday sales will increase by 3.6% to 5.2% over 2019, reaching between $755.3 billion and $766.7 billion. However, the uncertainty around the pandemic and the economy could affect consumer confidence and spending.
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