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How Tariffs Are Affecting Your Grocery Bill (And What You Can Do About It)

If your grocery bill has been giving you sticker shock lately, you're not imagining things — and you're definitely not alone. Millions of Canadians across the country are opening their wallets wider at the checkout, and a big part of the reason can be traced back to one word: tariffs . In this post, we break down exactly what's been happening, how much it's costing you, which foods are hit hardest, and — most importantly — what you can do right now to protect your budget . 💡 Quick Stat: Canada's Food Price Report 2026 predicts a family of four will spend roughly $17,572 on groceries this year — nearly $1,000 more than last year.  What Happened? A Quick Timeline The grocery price squeeze didn't happen overnight. Here's the short version of what led us here: Early 2025: U.S. President Donald Trump imposed broad tariffs on Canadian goods entering the United States, rattling our export-heavy economy. March 2025: Canada fired back with 25% counter-tariffs ...

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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and consumer woes

 


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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and spending woes

Canada’s economy contracted by 1.1 per cent on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2023, according to Statistics Canada. This was a much weaker result than expected by analysts and the Bank of Canada, which had forecast a slight growth of 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

The main factors behind the economic decline were a drop in exports, a slump in business investment, and a stagnation in consumer spending. Exports fell by 5.1 per cent, reflecting lower shipments of energy products, motor vehicles, and aircraft. Business investment decreased by 10.1 per cent, as firms reduced their spending on machinery and equipment, intellectual property, and non-residential structures. Consumer spending was flat, as households saved more of their income amid rising interest rates.

The only bright spots in the third quarter were government spending, which increased by 7.3 per cent, boosted by a one-time GST/HST credit payment, and residential housing investment, which rose by 8.3 per cent, driven by a surge in new construction.

The Canadian economy also performed poorly compared with the U.S. economy, which grew by 5.2 per cent in the same period. Canada has been more sensitive to the impact of higher interest rates, which have been raised by the Bank of Canada to 5 per cent from 0.25 per cent since early 2022. The central bank has recently signalled that it may pause or reverse its tightening cycle, as inflation has eased and economic growth has faltered.

Some economists believe that the third quarter contraction was a temporary setback and that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter and beyond. Statistics Canada estimated that GDP grew by 0.2 per cent in October, indicating a modest recovery. However, others warn that the economy may face more headwinds in the new year, such as the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the spread of the new COVID-19 variant, and the uncertainty over the federal fiscal policy.

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