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Canadians Are Feeling Less Squeezed — But Fraud Is Rewriting How We Manage Credit

  New data from TransUnion's Q2 2026 Canada Consumer Pulse Study, released July 22, 2026 There's a small but real shift happening in Canadian households right now. After years of headlines about affordability and inflation, a new survey suggests things are slightly less bleak — but Canadians aren't relaxing. They're getting more careful, and increasingly, more worried about fraud than about their credit score. TransUnion's newest Consumer Pulse Study, out today, paints a picture of a country cautiously exhaling — while quietly tightening the locks on its financial front door. The Good News: A Little More Breathing Room For the first time in a while, the numbers aren't all doom. Roughly a quarter of Canadians surveyed said their household income rose over the past three months, and nearly one in four say their finances are running better than they expected this year — the best reading TransUnion has recorded in the past 12 months. Optimism is edging up too: 45% ...
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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and consumer woes

 


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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and spending woes

Canada’s economy contracted by 1.1 per cent on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2023, according to Statistics Canada. This was a much weaker result than expected by analysts and the Bank of Canada, which had forecast a slight growth of 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

The main factors behind the economic decline were a drop in exports, a slump in business investment, and a stagnation in consumer spending. Exports fell by 5.1 per cent, reflecting lower shipments of energy products, motor vehicles, and aircraft. Business investment decreased by 10.1 per cent, as firms reduced their spending on machinery and equipment, intellectual property, and non-residential structures. Consumer spending was flat, as households saved more of their income amid rising interest rates.

The only bright spots in the third quarter were government spending, which increased by 7.3 per cent, boosted by a one-time GST/HST credit payment, and residential housing investment, which rose by 8.3 per cent, driven by a surge in new construction.

The Canadian economy also performed poorly compared with the U.S. economy, which grew by 5.2 per cent in the same period. Canada has been more sensitive to the impact of higher interest rates, which have been raised by the Bank of Canada to 5 per cent from 0.25 per cent since early 2022. The central bank has recently signalled that it may pause or reverse its tightening cycle, as inflation has eased and economic growth has faltered.

Some economists believe that the third quarter contraction was a temporary setback and that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter and beyond. Statistics Canada estimated that GDP grew by 0.2 per cent in October, indicating a modest recovery. However, others warn that the economy may face more headwinds in the new year, such as the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the spread of the new COVID-19 variant, and the uncertainty over the federal fiscal policy.

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