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Houthis Signal Readiness for Iran Conflict, Heightening Global Shipping Fears Article

Houthi activists burn US and Israeli flags during a demonstration in solidarity with Iran and Lebanon, in Sanaa, Yemen. Yemen’s Iran‑aligned Houthi movement has declared it is prepared to join the escalating conflict involving Iran, a move that could further destabilize global shipping routes and intensify economic pressures. A senior Houthi figure told Reuters the group is “fully militarily ready with all options,” noting that any decision to act would depend on developments in the wider regional war.  The Houthis, who previously disrupted Red Sea traffic during the Gaza conflict, may once again target the Bab al‑Mandab Strait—one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. The narrow passage connects the Red Sea to the Suez Canal, and renewed attacks could deepen the global oil and trade crisis already triggered by the Middle East conflict. Analysts suggest the group may be waiting for a strategic moment to open a new front in coordination with Iran, especially as the ...

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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and consumer woes

 


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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and spending woes

Canada’s economy contracted by 1.1 per cent on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2023, according to Statistics Canada. This was a much weaker result than expected by analysts and the Bank of Canada, which had forecast a slight growth of 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

The main factors behind the economic decline were a drop in exports, a slump in business investment, and a stagnation in consumer spending. Exports fell by 5.1 per cent, reflecting lower shipments of energy products, motor vehicles, and aircraft. Business investment decreased by 10.1 per cent, as firms reduced their spending on machinery and equipment, intellectual property, and non-residential structures. Consumer spending was flat, as households saved more of their income amid rising interest rates.

The only bright spots in the third quarter were government spending, which increased by 7.3 per cent, boosted by a one-time GST/HST credit payment, and residential housing investment, which rose by 8.3 per cent, driven by a surge in new construction.

The Canadian economy also performed poorly compared with the U.S. economy, which grew by 5.2 per cent in the same period. Canada has been more sensitive to the impact of higher interest rates, which have been raised by the Bank of Canada to 5 per cent from 0.25 per cent since early 2022. The central bank has recently signalled that it may pause or reverse its tightening cycle, as inflation has eased and economic growth has faltered.

Some economists believe that the third quarter contraction was a temporary setback and that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter and beyond. Statistics Canada estimated that GDP grew by 0.2 per cent in October, indicating a modest recovery. However, others warn that the economy may face more headwinds in the new year, such as the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the spread of the new COVID-19 variant, and the uncertainty over the federal fiscal policy.

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