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Canada's Economy Is Slowing: 5 Money Moves to Make Before Year-End

  Canadian Money Brief | October 22, 2026 Canada's economic outlook has weakened, and that is a good reason to take a fresh look at your finances before the end of the year. The Parliamentary Budget Officer's October outlook projects real GDP growth of just 0.9% in 2026, down from its earlier forecast of 1.1%. The report points to changing trade conditions and U.S. tariffs as key pressures. This does not mean a recession is guaranteed. But when the economy faces uncertainty, a few practical steps can help households stay prepared and avoid unnecessary costs. 1. Review your monthly budget Check your last two or three months of bank and credit-card statements. Look for subscriptions you no longer use, recurring fees, food waste, and purchases that can be delayed. Even small cuts can free up cash for savings or debt repayment. Try this: Choose one spending category to reduce this month and move the money you save into a separate savings account. 2. Build or top up your emergency ...
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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and consumer woes

 


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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and spending woes

Canada’s economy contracted by 1.1 per cent on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2023, according to Statistics Canada. This was a much weaker result than expected by analysts and the Bank of Canada, which had forecast a slight growth of 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

The main factors behind the economic decline were a drop in exports, a slump in business investment, and a stagnation in consumer spending. Exports fell by 5.1 per cent, reflecting lower shipments of energy products, motor vehicles, and aircraft. Business investment decreased by 10.1 per cent, as firms reduced their spending on machinery and equipment, intellectual property, and non-residential structures. Consumer spending was flat, as households saved more of their income amid rising interest rates.

The only bright spots in the third quarter were government spending, which increased by 7.3 per cent, boosted by a one-time GST/HST credit payment, and residential housing investment, which rose by 8.3 per cent, driven by a surge in new construction.

The Canadian economy also performed poorly compared with the U.S. economy, which grew by 5.2 per cent in the same period. Canada has been more sensitive to the impact of higher interest rates, which have been raised by the Bank of Canada to 5 per cent from 0.25 per cent since early 2022. The central bank has recently signalled that it may pause or reverse its tightening cycle, as inflation has eased and economic growth has faltered.

Some economists believe that the third quarter contraction was a temporary setback and that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter and beyond. Statistics Canada estimated that GDP grew by 0.2 per cent in October, indicating a modest recovery. However, others warn that the economy may face more headwinds in the new year, such as the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the spread of the new COVID-19 variant, and the uncertainty over the federal fiscal policy.

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