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Weekly Market Snapshot: TSX Hits Record High, Then Retreats as Fed Shocks Markets

  Week of June 16–20, 2026  |  Published June 20, 2026 It was a week of records and reversals for Canadian investors. The TSX touched an all-time high midweek before a hawkish surprise from the U.S. Federal Reserve and falling oil prices — triggered by the U.S.–Iran interim peace deal — pulled markets lower into Thursday's close. Here's everything that moved the needle for your portfolio and wallet this week. 📊 Weekly Market Scorecard Index / Asset Level (June 19 Close) Week Change S&P/TSX Composite 34,857 ▼ Mixed (high: 35,629 Wed.) S&P 500 (USD) 7,500.58 ▲ +1.08% (Wed.) Dow Jones (USD) 51,564.70 ▲ +0.14% (Wed.) Nasdaq (USD) 26,517.93 ▲ +1.91% (Wed.) WTI Crude Oil (USD/barrel) ~$76.54 ▼ Sharp weekly decline Gold (USD/oz) ~$4,157 ▼ Fell on hawkish Fed CAD/USD (Loonie) ~$0.7068 ▼ Under pressure Note: U.S. markets were closed Friday, June 20, for the Juneteenth National Independence Day holiday. TSX figures reflect Thursday's close. 🇨🇦 TSX: A Record High That Did...
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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and consumer woes

 


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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and spending woes

Canada’s economy contracted by 1.1 per cent on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2023, according to Statistics Canada. This was a much weaker result than expected by analysts and the Bank of Canada, which had forecast a slight growth of 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

The main factors behind the economic decline were a drop in exports, a slump in business investment, and a stagnation in consumer spending. Exports fell by 5.1 per cent, reflecting lower shipments of energy products, motor vehicles, and aircraft. Business investment decreased by 10.1 per cent, as firms reduced their spending on machinery and equipment, intellectual property, and non-residential structures. Consumer spending was flat, as households saved more of their income amid rising interest rates.

The only bright spots in the third quarter were government spending, which increased by 7.3 per cent, boosted by a one-time GST/HST credit payment, and residential housing investment, which rose by 8.3 per cent, driven by a surge in new construction.

The Canadian economy also performed poorly compared with the U.S. economy, which grew by 5.2 per cent in the same period. Canada has been more sensitive to the impact of higher interest rates, which have been raised by the Bank of Canada to 5 per cent from 0.25 per cent since early 2022. The central bank has recently signalled that it may pause or reverse its tightening cycle, as inflation has eased and economic growth has faltered.

Some economists believe that the third quarter contraction was a temporary setback and that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter and beyond. Statistics Canada estimated that GDP grew by 0.2 per cent in October, indicating a modest recovery. However, others warn that the economy may face more headwinds in the new year, such as the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the spread of the new COVID-19 variant, and the uncertainty over the federal fiscal policy.

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