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Canada's Housing Market Just Showed Its Strongest Sign of Life in 2026

  July 6, 2026 May sales jumped 5.5% nationally, listings tightened, and prices broke back above $700,000 — here's what it actually means if you're buying or selling in Ontario. The headline: After the slowest start to a year in recent memory, Canadian home sales rose 5.5% from April to May 2026 — the first real sign of momentum this year, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). What actually happened in May National home sales climbed 5.5% month-over-month in May, the strongest single-month gain of 2026 so far. New listings pulled back slightly, down 1%, and that combination tightened the national sales-to-new-listings ratio to 49.2%, up from 46.2% in April. For context, anything between 45% and 65% is generally considered a balanced market, so Canada has moved off the buyer-friendly end of that range and toward the middle. The national average home price came in at $702,079, up 1.5% year-over-year and the first time it has topped $700,000 in nearly two year...
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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and consumer woes

 


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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and spending woes

Canada’s economy contracted by 1.1 per cent on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2023, according to Statistics Canada. This was a much weaker result than expected by analysts and the Bank of Canada, which had forecast a slight growth of 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

The main factors behind the economic decline were a drop in exports, a slump in business investment, and a stagnation in consumer spending. Exports fell by 5.1 per cent, reflecting lower shipments of energy products, motor vehicles, and aircraft. Business investment decreased by 10.1 per cent, as firms reduced their spending on machinery and equipment, intellectual property, and non-residential structures. Consumer spending was flat, as households saved more of their income amid rising interest rates.

The only bright spots in the third quarter were government spending, which increased by 7.3 per cent, boosted by a one-time GST/HST credit payment, and residential housing investment, which rose by 8.3 per cent, driven by a surge in new construction.

The Canadian economy also performed poorly compared with the U.S. economy, which grew by 5.2 per cent in the same period. Canada has been more sensitive to the impact of higher interest rates, which have been raised by the Bank of Canada to 5 per cent from 0.25 per cent since early 2022. The central bank has recently signalled that it may pause or reverse its tightening cycle, as inflation has eased and economic growth has faltered.

Some economists believe that the third quarter contraction was a temporary setback and that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter and beyond. Statistics Canada estimated that GDP grew by 0.2 per cent in October, indicating a modest recovery. However, others warn that the economy may face more headwinds in the new year, such as the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the spread of the new COVID-19 variant, and the uncertainty over the federal fiscal policy.

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