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The Bank of Canada Warns of Higher Inflation: What It Means for Your Money

  The Bank of Canada Warns of Higher Inflation: What It Means for Your Money October 29, 2026 | Canadian Money Brief Canadians could face another year of rising living costs. Here's how to protect your savings, manage your grocery bill and make smarter financial decisions. If you thought inflation was finally becoming yesterday's problem, the Bank of Canada's latest forecast delivers an important reminder: the cost of living could remain under pressure well into next year. In its October 28, 2026, Monetary Policy Report, the Bank of Canada warned that inflation is expected to remain above 3% through much of 2027 before gradually returning close to its 2% target by the middle of 2028. Higher energy prices, rising import costs and trade uncertainty are contributing to the outlook. The Bank also raised its overnight policy rate by 0.25 percentage points to 2.50% in an effort to contain inflationary pressures. For Canadian households, the message is clear: even if inflation eve...
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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and consumer woes

 


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Canada’s economy shrinks in Q3 amid export and spending woes

Canada’s economy contracted by 1.1 per cent on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2023, according to Statistics Canada. This was a much weaker result than expected by analysts and the Bank of Canada, which had forecast a slight growth of 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

The main factors behind the economic decline were a drop in exports, a slump in business investment, and a stagnation in consumer spending. Exports fell by 5.1 per cent, reflecting lower shipments of energy products, motor vehicles, and aircraft. Business investment decreased by 10.1 per cent, as firms reduced their spending on machinery and equipment, intellectual property, and non-residential structures. Consumer spending was flat, as households saved more of their income amid rising interest rates.

The only bright spots in the third quarter were government spending, which increased by 7.3 per cent, boosted by a one-time GST/HST credit payment, and residential housing investment, which rose by 8.3 per cent, driven by a surge in new construction.

The Canadian economy also performed poorly compared with the U.S. economy, which grew by 5.2 per cent in the same period. Canada has been more sensitive to the impact of higher interest rates, which have been raised by the Bank of Canada to 5 per cent from 0.25 per cent since early 2022. The central bank has recently signalled that it may pause or reverse its tightening cycle, as inflation has eased and economic growth has faltered.

Some economists believe that the third quarter contraction was a temporary setback and that the economy will rebound in the fourth quarter and beyond. Statistics Canada estimated that GDP grew by 0.2 per cent in October, indicating a modest recovery. However, others warn that the economy may face more headwinds in the new year, such as the ongoing supply chain disruptions, the spread of the new COVID-19 variant, and the uncertainty over the federal fiscal policy.

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