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Lock In or Stay Variable? What Every Canadian Homeowner Must Decide Before April 29

   Bank of Canada headquarters, Ottawa. Overnight rate held at 2.25% since October 2025. Next decision: April 29, 2026.  The Bank of Canada has held its rate at 2.25% for three straight decisions — but with inflation creeping back up, a Middle East conflict pushing oil prices, and over one million mortgage renewals on the horizon, the stakes of getting this wrong have never been higher. The Canadian Money Brief April 25, 2026 6 min read THE CANADIAN MONEY BRIEF BANK OF CANADA 2.25% 2.25% POLICY RATE HELD SINCE OCT. 2025 · THIRD CONSECUTIVE HOLD NEXT DECISION: APR. 29, 2026 If your mortgage is coming up for renewal in the next six to eighteen months, the question keeping you up at night is probably this: do I lock in a fixed rate now — or do I ride out a variable rate and hope the Bank of Canada does something helpful? It's the right question to be asking. And right now, the answer is more complicated — and more consequential — than it has been in years. The Bank of Canada...

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Holiday spending outlook bleak for retailers amid consumer fatigue

 

The upcoming holiday season may not be very merry for Canadian retailers, as many consumers are planning to cut back on their spending amid rising inflation, supply chain disruptions and pandemic fatigue. 

According to a recent survey by Deloitte, only 38% of Canadians expect to spend more or the same amount as last year on holiday gifts, down from 54% in 2020. The average planned spending per household is also expected to drop by 13% to $1,405, the lowest level since 2015. The survey found that consumers are feeling the pinch of higher prices, lower savings and reduced disposable income, as well as concerns about the health and economic impacts of the COVID-19 variants. As a result, many shoppers are looking for ways to save money, such as buying fewer and cheaper gifts, using loyalty points or coupons, or opting for homemade or experiential gifts instead of physical ones. 

Retailers are also facing challenges from the global supply chain crisis, which has caused delays, shortages and higher costs for many products. Some retailers have warned that they may not be able to meet the demand for popular items, especially electronics, toys and clothing. Others have started their holiday promotions earlier than usual to encourage consumers to shop early and avoid disappointment. 

Deloitte's report suggests that retailers need to adapt to the changing consumer preferences and behaviours, and offer more value, convenience and flexibility to attract and retain customers. This may include providing more online and omnichannel options, offering free or fast shipping and returns, enhancing customer service and loyalty programs, and creating a safe and festive in-store environment.

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