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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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A Comprehensive Approach to Addressing the US Debt Problem

 

The US debt problem is a complex issue that requires a multi-faceted approach to solve. While closing the $688 billion tax gap is a step in the right direction, it is not a panacea for the US debt problem. According to a recent article by AOL, even if the IRS achieves a 100% collectible rate and closes the estimated $688 billion tax gap, that won’t be enough to meaningfully shrink the US debt gap. The article suggests that the US government needs to focus on other areas such as reducing spending, increasing revenue, and improving economic growth.

The US debt problem is a critical issue that requires immediate attention. The current debt-to-GDP ratio indicates that current policy under this report’s assumptions is unsustainable. If lawmakers fail to take action soon, the report projects that the federal debt could “exceed 200 percent [of GDP] by 2046 and reach 566 percent by 2097”. To stabilize the federal debt at current levels, the Financial Report estimates that the government will have to run “primary surpluses” equal to 0.6 percent of GDP, 4.9 percentage points higher than current projections, between 2023 and 2097 .

Therefore, it is imperative that the US government takes a comprehensive approach to address the debt problem. The government should focus on reducing spending, increasing revenue, and improving economic growth. A balanced approach that includes a combination of these measures is necessary to address the US debt problem.

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