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BoC Decision Day: What a Hold at 2.25% Means for Your Mortgage

  Published September 2, 2026 Tomorrow's date has been sitting at the bottom of every Canadian Money Brief for weeks, and it's finally here. The Bank of Canada announces its overnight rate decision on Wednesday, September 2 at 9:45 a.m. ET, with Governor Tiff Macklem holding a press conference at 10:30. Every economist polled by Reuters — all 35 of them — expects the same outcome: a hold at 2.25%, the eighth straight meeting without a move. That's the headline. The more useful question for your wallet is what a "boring" hold actually does — and doesn't do — to your mortgage, and why two of the Big Six banks think the boring streak is about to end. Why a hold is the almost-certain call The Bank has a genuinely awkward setup heading into this meeting. On one side, the economy just posted its best quarter in years: GDP grew at a 3.3% annualized pace in the second quarter, well ahead of the Bank's own 2.5% forecast, and July's jobs report added a blowout ...

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Fed Rate Cut Looms as Job Market Cools Down


The U.S. stock market ended lower on Wednesday, as investors weighed the implications of a slowing job market for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. The S&P 500 index fell 0.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively.

The decline came after the release of fresh employment data that showed job openings in October fell to the lowest level since early 2021, indicating that the labor market was easing amid the pandemic. The number of hires also decreased, while the quits rate, a measure of workers’ confidence, remained unchanged at a record high.

The data reinforced the expectations that the Fed could start cutting interest rates as soon as March 2023, as inflation pressures ease and economic growth moderates. The Fed has signaled that it will end its bond-buying program by March and begin raising rates sometime next year, depending on the economic conditions.

Some analysts said that the lower stock prices reflected the uncertainty about the timing and pace of the Fed’s policy tightening, as well as the impact of the new coronavirus variant Omicron on the global economy. Others said that the market was due for a correction after reaching record highs in November.

Among the sectors, energy shares were the worst performers, as oil prices fell on the prospects of lower demand and higher supply. Megacaps such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google also dragged the market lower, as investors rotated out of the high-growth stocks into more defensive sectors.

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