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Housing Market Outlook 2026: Prices Stabilizing, Demand Still Weak

  If you've been watching the Canadian housing market and waiting for a clear signal — up, down, or sideways — welcome to 2026, where the answer is stubbornly "sideways." Prices have stopped falling in most regions, but they're not exactly rallying either. Meanwhile, the buyers who were supposed to flood back after rate cuts? Still sitting on the fence. Here's what the data says and what it means for your wallet. 📊 Quick Stats — April 2026 National average home price: $695,412 (+2.2% year-over-year) National benchmark price (MLS HPI): $666,400 (-4.2% year-over-year) Months of inventory: 5.2 (balanced territory) GTA average price: $1,051,969 (-4.9% year-over-year) Bank of Canada policy rate: 2.25% (held steady) 📉 Why Are Prices "Stabilizing" But Not Recovering? Canada's housing market entered 2026 caught between two opposing forces. On one side, the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate from a peak of 5.0% all the way down to 2.25%, which should ...
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Population growth outpaces job creation in Canada

 


Canada’s labour market is facing a challenge as the number of people looking for work is growing faster than the number of jobs available. According to Statistics Canada, employment increased by 25,000 in November, but the unemployment rate rose to 5.8 per cent from 5.7 per cent in October. This is because the population aged 15 and over grew by 870,000, or 2.7 per cent, since the beginning of the year, while the net job gain was only 430,000.

The Bank of Canada has been raising interest rates to curb inflation, but this has also slowed down the economy and the demand for labour. Some economists expect the central bank to start cutting rates in the second quarter of next year to stimulate growth and stabilize the labour market.

The job gains in November were concentrated in the private sector, full-time work, manufacturing and construction. However, some industries, such as wholesale and retail trade, finance, insurance and real estate, saw job losses. Younger workers (15 to 24) also faced higher unemployment than other age groups.

Average hourly wages rose 4.8 per cent year over year in November, matching the increase in October. The Bank of Canada is monitoring wage growth for signs of inflationary pressure. Total hours worked across the economy fell 0.7 per cent in November, indicating a weak performance of gross domestic product that month.


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