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Wall Street Futures Rise Ahead of Thanksgiving Holiday

  US stock futures edged higher on Wednesday as investors looked to extend the market’s recent rally into the Thanksgiving holiday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.2%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.3% . The move follows a strong session on Tuesday, when the Dow surged more than 660 points (1.4%) , marking its third consecutive day of gains. Tech stocks continued to drive momentum, with Alphabet closing at record highs after reports that Meta may adopt Google’s TPU chips in the coming years. Meanwhile, Nvidia shares slipped over 2.5% as competition in the AI chip space intensified. Investors are also keeping a close eye on the Federal Reserve. Markets are currently pricing in an 85% probability of a quarter-point rate cut in December , which has helped bolster optimism. Lower Treasury yields and easing inflation pressures have further supported the bullish sentiment. Through the first two trading days of this holiday-shortened we...

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Bank of Canada may trail Fed rate cut as wage growth continues to soar

 

The Bank of Canada may not follow the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates, despite the Canadian economy flirting with recession. This is due to high growth in Canadian wages and shelter costs, which could see the central bank shifting to interest rate cuts after the Federal Reserve. However, factors peculiar to Canada, such as declining productivity, record levels of immigration, and a relatively unionized workforce, could stand in the way of inflation returning to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. Wage growth could be slow to ease as collective bargaining agreements lock in multi-year wage settlements. Analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced.

The Canadian economy is facing a challenging time, with the Bank of Canada’s 2% inflation target still out of reach. The Bank of Canada may need to take a different approach to the Federal Reserve in order to achieve its goals. Wage growth in Canada is much higher than in the United States, which could make it difficult for the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates. However, analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced. This could help support the Canadian dollar and delay a rebound in the economy, which would disappoint heavily indebted households, many of which are due to renew their mortgages at higher borrowing costs this year.

In conclusion, the Bank of Canada may trail the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates due to high growth in Canadian wages and shelter costs. However, factors peculiar to Canada, such as declining productivity, record levels of immigration, and a relatively unionized workforce, could stand in the way of inflation returning to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. Wage growth could be slow to ease as collective bargaining agreements lock in multi-year wage settlements. Analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced.

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