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5 Things to Know Today About Your Money — May 12, 2026

  A lot is happening in the Canadian money world right now. From a new sovereign wealth fund you can actually invest in, to lower payroll costs coming your way, here are the five things every Canadian should know about their money today. 1. The Bank of Canada Is Holding Rates — For Now On April 29, 2026 , the Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% (Bank Rate: 2.50%, deposit rate: 2.20%). Governor Tiff Macklem has flagged that the economy is growing at a moderate pace as it adjusts to U.S. tariffs, but inflation — now around 2.4% — is edging up due to higher oil prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. The Bank projects 1.2% economic growth for 2026, picking up to 1.6% in 2027. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and line-of-credit holders get a brief reprieve — but watch oil prices. If inflation keeps rising, a rate hike could follow. 2. Your CPP Contributions Are Getting a Cut in 2027 The 2026 Spring Economic Update proposes to reduce the base CPP con...
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Bank of Canada may trail Fed rate cut as wage growth continues to soar

 

The Bank of Canada may not follow the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates, despite the Canadian economy flirting with recession. This is due to high growth in Canadian wages and shelter costs, which could see the central bank shifting to interest rate cuts after the Federal Reserve. However, factors peculiar to Canada, such as declining productivity, record levels of immigration, and a relatively unionized workforce, could stand in the way of inflation returning to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. Wage growth could be slow to ease as collective bargaining agreements lock in multi-year wage settlements. Analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced.

The Canadian economy is facing a challenging time, with the Bank of Canada’s 2% inflation target still out of reach. The Bank of Canada may need to take a different approach to the Federal Reserve in order to achieve its goals. Wage growth in Canada is much higher than in the United States, which could make it difficult for the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates. However, analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced. This could help support the Canadian dollar and delay a rebound in the economy, which would disappoint heavily indebted households, many of which are due to renew their mortgages at higher borrowing costs this year.

In conclusion, the Bank of Canada may trail the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates due to high growth in Canadian wages and shelter costs. However, factors peculiar to Canada, such as declining productivity, record levels of immigration, and a relatively unionized workforce, could stand in the way of inflation returning to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. Wage growth could be slow to ease as collective bargaining agreements lock in multi-year wage settlements. Analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced.

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