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Trump Signals Near End to Iran Conflict Amid Conflicting Messages

  President Donald Trump has suggested that the United States is “very close” to winding down its military campaign in Iran, even as the conflict continues to escalate across the region. Speaking to reporters, Trump said the U.S. could end its operations within “two to three weeks,” emphasizing that Iran does not need to agree to a deal for the war to conclude. The remarks come as the administration prepares a national address on the Iran conflict, now entering its second month. The war has caused widespread destruction, disrupted global energy markets, and driven oil prices sharply upward. Despite Trump’s statements about de‑escalation, U.S. troop deployments have increased, with thousands of additional Marines sent to the Middle East.  Trump’s messaging has been inconsistent. While he has publicly hinted at a drawdown, he has also positioned U.S. forces for potential expanded operations and delayed major strikes in hopes of diplomatic progress—progress Iran denies is occu...

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European Stocks Surge and Bond Yields Ease as Markets Scale Back Bets on Rate Cuts

 

European stocks surged to a fresh two-year high, and bond yields eased as markets scaled back ambitious bets at the end of 2023 on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and other major central banks. The S&P 500 also edged higher, with the index poised to set a new record closing high, at the start of a week packed with big corporate earnings, European inflation data, Federal Reserve and Bank of England meetings and U.S. employment data.

The market is trying to understand the outlook for the U.S. economy as it is unlikely to require the deep interest rate cuts by the Fed it has priced in. Absent geopolitical shocks, the U.S. economy will grow better than expected with just a few areas underperforming.

The surge in European stocks and the easing of bond yields can be attributed to the markets scaling back their bets on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and other major central banks.



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