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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Houthi Attacks in the Red Sea Cause Major Disruption to Global Trade

 



The recent Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea have caused a major disruption to global trade, forcing vessels into longer and more costly journeys around Africa. The attacks have led to car factories idling in Belgium and Germany, and spring fashion lines being delayed at a popular British department store. The situation is causing delays and driving up costs at a time when the world is already struggling with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more.

The threat of further attacks grows considerably the longer the war in Gaza drags on. Disruption to Red Sea trade lasting a year could surge goods inflation by up to 2%, piling on pain while the world already struggles with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more. The situation is causing delays and driving up costs at a time when the world is already struggling with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more.


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