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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Houthi Attacks in the Red Sea Cause Major Disruption to Global Trade

 



The recent Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea have caused a major disruption to global trade, forcing vessels into longer and more costly journeys around Africa. The attacks have led to car factories idling in Belgium and Germany, and spring fashion lines being delayed at a popular British department store. The situation is causing delays and driving up costs at a time when the world is already struggling with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more.

The threat of further attacks grows considerably the longer the war in Gaza drags on. Disruption to Red Sea trade lasting a year could surge goods inflation by up to 2%, piling on pain while the world already struggles with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more. The situation is causing delays and driving up costs at a time when the world is already struggling with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more.


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