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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Houthi Attacks in the Red Sea Cause Major Disruption to Global Trade

 



The recent Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea have caused a major disruption to global trade, forcing vessels into longer and more costly journeys around Africa. The attacks have led to car factories idling in Belgium and Germany, and spring fashion lines being delayed at a popular British department store. The situation is causing delays and driving up costs at a time when the world is already struggling with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more.

The threat of further attacks grows considerably the longer the war in Gaza drags on. Disruption to Red Sea trade lasting a year could surge goods inflation by up to 2%, piling on pain while the world already struggles with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more. The situation is causing delays and driving up costs at a time when the world is already struggling with higher prices for groceries, rent, and more.


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