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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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U.S. Economy Ends 2023 with Strong Job and Wage Growth


The U.S. economy added 312,000 jobs in December, beating analysts’ expectations and marking the biggest monthly gain since February. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 3.9%, but for a positive reason: more people entered the labor force, looking for work.

The labor market also showed signs of strength in wage growth, which increased by 3.2% over the year, the fastest pace since 2009. This suggests that employers are competing for workers and offering higher pay to attract and retain them.

The strong job and wage numbers cap off a solid year for the U.S. economy, which grew by an estimated 3% in 2023, the highest rate since 2015. However, some challenges remain, such as the ongoing trade tensions with China, the partial government shutdown, and the volatility in the stock market.

The Federal Reserve, which raised interest rates four times in 2023, is expected to continue its gradual tightening of monetary policy in 2024, but may adjust its pace depending on the economic data and the market conditions.



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U.S. Job Growth Exceeds Expectations in December, Wages Rise Solidly

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. economy added 514,000 jobs in December, exceeding expectations. The unemployment rate fell to 3.9%. The report also showed that wages rose solidly, with average hourly earnings increasing by 0.5%. This is a positive sign for the U.S. economy, which has been recovering from the pandemic.

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