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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Yemen’s Houthi rebels suspected of attacking ship in Gulf of Aden

 

A ship sailing in the Gulf of Aden was hit by a missile on Monday, less than a day after Yemen’s Houthi rebels fired an anti-ship cruise missile toward an American destroyer in the Red Sea, officials said.

The attack on the ship, which occurred about 110 miles southeast of Aden, was reported by the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations, which oversees Mideast waters. The ship’s captain said the missile struck the port side of the vessel from above, but did not provide any further details.

The identity of the ship and its crew was not immediately disclosed, nor was the extent of the damage or any casualties.

The Houthi rebels, who are backed by Iran and control Yemen’s capital, have not claimed responsibility for the attack, but they have previously targeted shipping in the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea amid Israel’s war with Hamas in the Gaza Strip.

The Houthis have said they are defending themselves against the Saudi-led coalition that has been bombing them since 2015, after they ousted the internationally recognized government of Yemen.

The U.S. and its allies have accused the Houthis of disrupting the free flow of international commerce and threatening regional stability. President Joe Biden has warned that he will not hesitate to take further measures to protect U.S. interests and allies in the area.

The attack on the ship came as the U.N. Security Council was meeting to discuss the situation in Yemen and the humanitarian crisis caused by the war, which has killed over 100,000 people and pushed millions to the brink of famine.



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