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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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Navigating Interest Rate Changes: What Savers, Investors, and Borrowers Need to Know

 Bank of Canada

As the financial landscape shifts, understanding interest rates becomes crucial for anyone managing their money. Let’s explore how these changes impact different groups:

1. Savers: High-Interest Savings Accounts (HISAs)

High-Interest Savings Accounts (HISAs) offer an opportunity for savers to earn more on their deposits. Here are some top HISAs in Canada:

  1. EQ Bank Personal Account: With a 4.00% rate (including a 1.50% bonus for direct deposits), EQ Bank provides a competitive option.
  2. LBC Digital High-Interest Savings Account: Offers a 3.00% rate.
  3. Motive Savvy Savings Account: Boasts a 4.10% rate.
  4. Simplii Financial High Interest Savings Account: A 6.00% rate for the first 5 months.

Remember, HISAs provide liquidity—no penalties for withdrawals—unlike Guaranteed Investment Certificates (GICs). While GIC rates have surged recently, HISAs remain flexible.

2. Investors: Nominal vs. Real Interest Rates

Investors should understand the difference between nominal and real interest rates. Nominal rates represent the cost of borrowing or return on investments, while real rates account for inflation. Consider both when making investment decisions.

3. Borrowers: Impact of Rate Hikes

Higher interest rates benefit savers but can be challenging for borrowers. As the Bank of Canada holds its benchmark rate steady at 5%, consider these implications:

  • Mortgages: Variable-rate mortgage holders may see increased payments.
  • Consumer Loans: Interest costs rise for personal loans and credit cards.
  • Investment Decisions: Evaluate fixed vs. variable rates.

In summary, stay informed, adapt your financial strategy, and make the most of changing interest rates.

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