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Canadian Money Brief: 5 Things to Know Today — Tuesday, May 19, 2026

  From Canada's surprise rise to near the top of G7 growth charts, to softening rents, a cooling job market, and a looming trade renegotiation with the U.S. — here's what's moving your money today. 1 Economy & Growth Canada Is the 2nd-Fastest Growing G7 Economy — But Headwinds Loom The IMF now projects Canada to post the 2nd-fastest GDP growth in the G7 for 2026–2027, and the Spring 2026 Economic Update backs that up: the economy grew 1.7% in 2025 while avoiding a recession. Business investment is rebounding — up 2.6% in Q4 2025 — and Canada has attracted a record $97 billion in foreign direct investment. The engine? A relative tariff advantage under CUSMA, strong energy exports, and targeted federal spending. The caution: that momentum is fragile. Higher oil prices, a soft labour market, and a critical U.S. trade review mid-year could all shift the outlook quickly. 💡 What it means for you A growing economy generally supports job stability and wage gains — but don...

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U.S. and Iran tensions escalate after rocket attacks in Iraq

 

The U.S. and Iran are locked in a cycle of violence that threatens to spiral out of control, as both sides exchange rocket attacks and warnings in Iraq. The latest round of hostilities began on Sunday, when Iran-backed militias fired rockets at a U.S. base near Baghdad, killing a U.S. contractor and wounding several others. The U.S. responded by launching airstrikes on militia targets in Syria and Iraq, killing at least four fighters and injuring dozens more.

The U.S. said the strikes were a “proportionate” and “defensive” response to deter future attacks, but Iran and its allies condemned them as a “flagrant violation” of Iraqi sovereignty and international law. Iran’s foreign ministry spokesman said the U.S. was “taking the wrong path” and warned of “consequences” for its actions. The militias vowed to avenge their fallen comrades and continue their resistance against the U.S. presence in Iraq.

The situation has put the Biden administration in a difficult position, as it seeks to revive the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran that was abandoned by former president Donald Trump. The deal, which lifted sanctions on Iran in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program, was seen as a way to ease tensions and prevent a regional war. However, the deal has been unraveling since Trump withdrew from it in 2018 and reimposed harsh sanctions on Iran, prompting Iran to resume its nuclear activities and increase its support for militias in the region.

Biden has expressed his willingness to rejoin the deal, but only if Iran returns to full compliance first. Iran, on the other hand, has demanded that the U.S. lift all sanctions before it reverses its nuclear steps. The two sides have not yet agreed on a format or a timeline for negotiations, and the recent violence has further complicated the prospects for diplomacy. Some analysts fear that the escalation could undermine the chances of a peaceful resolution and push the region closer to the brink of war.

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