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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Explosions Ahead: Yemen’s Houthi Rebels Target Singapore-Flagged Ship in Gulf of Aden

 

On Friday, an audacious attack by Yemen’s Houthi rebels sent shockwaves through the Gulf of Aden. Explosions erupted ahead of a Singapore-flagged vessel, the bulk carrier Propel Fortune, as it plied its course. The incident unfolded against the backdrop of escalating tensions in the region.

The Propel Fortune, flying the Singaporean flag, bore the brunt of the assault. Yet, remarkably, it persevered, continuing its voyage undeterred. The United States military’s Central Command confirmed that the missiles did not strike the vessel, and no injuries or damages were reported. The ship’s resilience stands as a testament to maritime security protocols and the crew’s vigilance.

The Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, have been relentless in their campaign of aggression. Their actions are often linked to Israel’s ongoing conflict with Hamas in the Gaza Strip. While the Houthis claim their attacks aim to pressure Israel into ending the war, recent incidents reveal a broader scope. The Propel Fortune incident follows a fatal strike on a commercial ship earlier in the week, where three crew members lost their lives. These assaults, however, increasingly target vessels unrelated to the conflict, raising questions about the rebels’ true intentions.

In February, the Houthis targeted a fertilizer-carrying cargo ship, the Rubymar, which eventually sank after drifting for days. Additionally, they downed an American drone worth tens of millions of dollars. The U.S. responded with airstrikes, destroying two Houthi truck-mounted anti-ship missiles in Yemen. The rebels, though silent on the destruction, continue their provocations.

The Houthi rebels have held Yemen’s capital, Sanaa, since 2014, while battling a Saudi-led coalition in a protracted war. The U.S. airstrike campaign has taken its toll, with at least 22 Houthi fighters killed. Tragically, one civilian has also lost their life.

As the Gulf of Aden remains a theater of tension, the international community watches closely. The Propel Fortune incident serves as a stark reminder of the fragile balance in these troubled waters.


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