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Weekly Market Snapshot: Yields at Multi-Decade Highs, Oil Eases on Hormuz Hopes — Week of Sept. 22–26, 2026

Week of September 22–26, 2026 It was a week of two forces tugging in opposite directions. Bond yields surged to levels not seen since 2004–2007, driven by resilient US economic data, hawkish Fed signals, and oil-driven inflation fears — putting pressure on equities and the Canadian dollar. Then, late in the week, reports emerged that US and Iranian negotiators were exploring a phased deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Oil pulled back sharply Friday, yields stabilized, and markets found enough relief to post a partial recovery. The TSX finished the week slightly lower but well off its worst levels, while US indices managed a weekly gain. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite entered the week near 35,800 and, after a volatile ride, closed Friday around the same level — giving up roughly 0.3% on the week. Mid-week selling was driven by the same forces pressuring global markets: surging US Treasury yields, a rising oil-inflation premium, and investor nervousness ahea...

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Israel Agrees to Gaza Ceasefire Framework: Now Awaiting Hamas’ Decision

 


In a significant development, Israel has essentially endorsed a framework for a proposed Gaza ceasefire and hostage release deal. The ball is now in Hamas’ court as they must decide whether to agree to it. A senior U.S. administration official revealed this information on Saturday, just a day before talks are scheduled to resume in Egypt.

The proposed framework includes a six-week ceasefire, which could provide much-needed relief to the conflict-weary region. Additionally, Hamas would be required to release hostages considered vulnerable, including the sick, wounded, elderly, and women. The Israelis have “more or less accepted” this proposal, according to the official. However, the final decision rests with Hamas, and efforts are ongoing to encourage their cooperation.

International mediators have been working tirelessly to broker this deal before the start of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan (around March 10). If successful, the agreement would allow aid to reach hundreds of thousands of desperate Palestinians in northern Gaza. These individuals are currently under the threat of famine due to the ongoing conflict.

In response to the dire situation, U.S. military planes have initiated airdrops of thousands of meals into Gaza. Jordan and Egypt have also conducted similar airdrops. However, aid groups emphasize that airdrops should be a last resort. Instead, they advocate for the opening of other crossings into Gaza and the removal of obstacles at the few existing ones.

The European Union’s diplomatic service has expressed concern over the chaos surrounding an aid convoy in Gaza. Many of the hundreds of Palestinians killed or wounded during the incident were hit by Israeli army fire. The EU calls for an international investigation, attributing the crisis to "restrictions imposed by the Israeli army and obstructions by violent extremists to the supply of humanitarian aid".

As the talks continue, the world watches with bated breath, hoping for a breakthrough that will alleviate the suffering of those caught in the crossfire.


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