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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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S&P/TSX Composite Index Surges: Canadian Markets Rally Alongside U.S. Stocks

 

In a robust trading session, the S&P/TSX composite index soared by nearly 200 points on Wednesday, fueled by broad-based strength across various sectors. Simultaneously, U.S. markets also experienced gains, with the Dow Jones industrial average leading the charge.

Key Highlights:

  1. Canadian Surge: The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 194.56 points at 22,107.08, reflecting the bullish sentiment in the Canadian market. Notably, base metals and industrials played a pivotal role in driving this upward trajectory.

  2. U.S. Market Momentum: Across the border, U.S. markets followed suit. The Dow Jones industrial average surged by 477.75 points, reaching 39,760.08. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index climbed 44.91 points to 5,248.49, and the Nasdaq composite gained 83.82 points, closing at 16,399.52.

  3. Currency and Commodities: The Canadian dollar traded at 73.60 cents U.S., slightly lower than the previous day. Crude oil prices dipped, with the May contract down 27 cents at US$81.35 per barrel. Natural gas also saw a decline, with the May contract down seven cents at US$1.72 per mmBTU. On the other hand, gold prices rose, with the June contract up US$13.50 at US$2,212.70 per ounce, while copper remained steady at US$4 per pound.

This bullish momentum reflects investor optimism and economic resilience, even amidst global uncertainties. As we move forward, market participants will closely monitor developments and continue to assess the impact of various factors on stock performance.


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