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Premiers Split on Using Potash as a Trade Weapon — What It Means for Your Grocery Bill

  Published August 31, 2026 Canada's premiers can't agree on how far to take the trade war with the United States — and this week, the fight is over a grey mineral mined almost 2,000 kilometres from Ottawa: potash. The disagreement matters well beyond provincial politics. Potash is the "P" and "K" of fertilizer economics — a key ingredient in the blends that grow the wheat, canola, and corn that eventually show up as bread, canola oil, and everything fed to livestock. Canada supplies about 85% of the potash the U.S. uses, which is exactly why some premiers see it as leverage — and why others are warning that pulling that lever could backfire on the very provinces pushing for it. Ford wants to pull the lever. Moe and Smith are warning not to. Ontario Premier Doug Ford is pushing for the toughest response available, including resource-based leverage. Saskatchewan's Scott Moe and Alberta's Danielle Smith are pumping the brakes, warning that squeezing po...
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World Markets Anticipate Potential Trump White House Return

 

Investors worldwide are on edge as the specter of Donald Trump’s return to the White House looms large. Following Super Tuesday, which confirmed the November U.S. election showdown between Trump and incumbent Joe Biden, several critical flash points have emerged, capturing the attention of global markets.

Any escalation in trade tensions between the U.S. and major economies could send shockwaves through world equity markets, currently hovering near record highs. European Union policymakers fear that Trump might reimpose tariffs on European steel and aluminum—tariffs that Biden had previously suspended. Additionally, concerns arise about potential tariffs on EU curbs related to U.S. tech giants. Trump’s threat of imposing 60% tariffs on Chinese goods could significantly impact China’s GDP, especially when combined with stricter tariff enforcement. During his previous presidency, Trump imposed tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods, which remained in place under Biden. Bilateral trade initially dipped but rebounded during the pandemic surge in U.S. demand for electronics. However, recent tensions due to the Ukraine conflict have slowed this growth. China’s yuan and equities may bear the brunt if Trump’s tariff threats materialize.

Historically, U.S. stocks tend to end the year positively, regardless of the election outcome. However, the journey can be rocky. A divided Congress could temper policy plans for both candidates. Biden is expected to focus on renewable energy, while Trump might scrap electric vehicle subsidies and prioritize tax cuts. If Trump embarks on a “revenge tour,” the dollar could weaken, inflation might rise, and bond yields could climb, impacting investment decisions.

As the world watches, the question remains: Will Trump’s potential return reshape global markets or maintain the status quo?

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