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Lock In or Stay Variable? What Every Canadian Homeowner Must Decide Before April 29

   Bank of Canada headquarters, Ottawa. Overnight rate held at 2.25% since October 2025. Next decision: April 29, 2026.  The Bank of Canada has held its rate at 2.25% for three straight decisions — but with inflation creeping back up, a Middle East conflict pushing oil prices, and over one million mortgage renewals on the horizon, the stakes of getting this wrong have never been higher. The Canadian Money Brief April 25, 2026 6 min read THE CANADIAN MONEY BRIEF BANK OF CANADA 2.25% 2.25% POLICY RATE HELD SINCE OCT. 2025 · THIRD CONSECUTIVE HOLD NEXT DECISION: APR. 29, 2026 If your mortgage is coming up for renewal in the next six to eighteen months, the question keeping you up at night is probably this: do I lock in a fixed rate now — or do I ride out a variable rate and hope the Bank of Canada does something helpful? It's the right question to be asking. And right now, the answer is more complicated — and more consequential — than it has been in years. The Bank of Canada...
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Canadian Market Wobbles Amid Tax Hike Concerns

 

In a climate of financial uncertainty, Canada’s main stock index, the S&P/TSX composite, dipped to a five-week nadir. Investors, already grappling with rising long-term borrowing costs, now face the specter of increased taxation. This trepidation stems from anticipations surrounding the imminent federal budget, which may include tax hikes as a measure to balance the government’s heavy spending.

The index’s downturn reflects a broader sentiment of caution, with the energy sector seeing a 1.7% decline and technology stocks falling by 1.3%. The financial sector was not immune to the downturn, experiencing a 0.6% drop. These figures are emblematic of a market poised on the brink of potential fiscal tightening, as the government seeks avenues to bolster its coffers in the face of expansive fiscal policies.

As the market awaits the consumer price index report, expected to reveal a rise in inflation to an annual rate of 2.9%, the air is thick with anticipation. The outcome of this report, coupled with the federal budget’s tax proposals, will likely be pivotal in shaping the market’s trajectory in the coming weeks.

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