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Canada’s Housing Market Faces Headwinds Despite BoC Moves

The Bank of Canada’s 25-basis-point cut in September was at best ignored by the national market, with sales falling 1.7 per cent compared to the month before. The Bank of Canada’s recent interest rate adjustments have done little to revive the country’s housing market, which continues to struggle under the weight of broader economic concerns. In September, the central bank cut its policy rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to 2.5%. Yet, instead of sparking renewed activity, national home sales actually fell by 1.7% compared to the previous month.  Economists note that the housing market is no longer moving in lockstep with monetary policy, but is instead being shaped by regional affordability challenges, consumer psychology, and—most critically—job security fears. Uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy has also cast a shadow over Canada’s economic outlook. Businesses remain hesitant to invest, and households are wary of making major financial commitments such as home purchas...
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Canadian Market Wobbles Amid Tax Hike Concerns

 

In a climate of financial uncertainty, Canada’s main stock index, the S&P/TSX composite, dipped to a five-week nadir. Investors, already grappling with rising long-term borrowing costs, now face the specter of increased taxation. This trepidation stems from anticipations surrounding the imminent federal budget, which may include tax hikes as a measure to balance the government’s heavy spending.

The index’s downturn reflects a broader sentiment of caution, with the energy sector seeing a 1.7% decline and technology stocks falling by 1.3%. The financial sector was not immune to the downturn, experiencing a 0.6% drop. These figures are emblematic of a market poised on the brink of potential fiscal tightening, as the government seeks avenues to bolster its coffers in the face of expansive fiscal policies.

As the market awaits the consumer price index report, expected to reveal a rise in inflation to an annual rate of 2.9%, the air is thick with anticipation. The outcome of this report, coupled with the federal budget’s tax proposals, will likely be pivotal in shaping the market’s trajectory in the coming weeks.

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