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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...
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Canadian Market Wobbles Amid Tax Hike Concerns

 

In a climate of financial uncertainty, Canada’s main stock index, the S&P/TSX composite, dipped to a five-week nadir. Investors, already grappling with rising long-term borrowing costs, now face the specter of increased taxation. This trepidation stems from anticipations surrounding the imminent federal budget, which may include tax hikes as a measure to balance the government’s heavy spending.

The index’s downturn reflects a broader sentiment of caution, with the energy sector seeing a 1.7% decline and technology stocks falling by 1.3%. The financial sector was not immune to the downturn, experiencing a 0.6% drop. These figures are emblematic of a market poised on the brink of potential fiscal tightening, as the government seeks avenues to bolster its coffers in the face of expansive fiscal policies.

As the market awaits the consumer price index report, expected to reveal a rise in inflation to an annual rate of 2.9%, the air is thick with anticipation. The outcome of this report, coupled with the federal budget’s tax proposals, will likely be pivotal in shaping the market’s trajectory in the coming weeks.

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