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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Federal Government Boosts Vaccine Injury Compensation Fund with Additional $36 Million

 

The Canadian federal government has recently allocated an additional $36.4 million to the Vaccine Injury Compensation Fund, a program designed to support individuals who have experienced serious injuries or fatalities related to vaccines since the end of 2020. Here are the key details:

  1. Purpose of the Fund:

    • The program was established shortly after COVID-19 vaccines became available to the public.
    • It provides financial compensation to people who suffered adverse effects due to Health Canada-approved vaccines.
    • The goal is to assist those who were seriously impacted by vaccination.

  2. Funding and Administration:

    • The Liberal government initially earmarked $75 million for the first five years of the program.
    • A private firm called OXARO manages the program and disburses valid claims originating outside of Quebec.
    • To date, OXARO has received $56.2 million from Ottawa and has paid out $11.2 million in compensation.
    • Quebec has its own vaccine injury compensation program, which received $7.75 million when the federal program launched.

  3. Recent Funding Boost:

    • As part of the federal budget, the government allocated an additional $36 million to OXARO and Quebec.
    • This funding covers the next two years of the program.
    • The Public Health Agency of Canada contracted OXARO to ensure an impartial claims process.

  4. Eligibility and Claims:

    • The program covers injuries and deaths associated with vaccines approved for any illness.
    • Eligibility criteria include severe, life-threatening, or life-altering injuries resulting in disability, incapacity, birth defects, or death.
    • The available statistics do not specify which vaccines were involved.

  5. Rare Adverse Reactions:

    • Serious adverse reactions to vaccines are extremely rare (affecting less than one in a million people).
    • Nevertheless, the government recognizes its duty to provide support when such reactions occur.
    • Ottawa has also made COVID-19 vaccination mandatory for travel and federal public service employment.

In summary, the additional funding aims to ensure that those affected by vaccine-related injuries receive appropriate compensation while maintaining an impartial claims process. The program underscores the importance of vaccine safety and accountability in public health efforts. 


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