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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Freeland Undeterred Following Meeting with Canadian Tech Leaders Over Capital Gains Tax Changes


Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland recently met with Canadian technology industry leaders in Toronto to discuss the federal government’s recent capital gains tax hikes. These changes have sparked widespread backlash from tech entrepreneurs and investors. During the meeting, Freeland emphasized the government’s belief in the budget and its investments. She defended the capital gains tax increase, stating that the rate set would still be lower than in California or New York City for most individuals. Freeland also highlighted the importance of essential investments supported by the budget.

The Canadian tech sector has expressed strong opposition to these tax adjustments, fearing potential negative impacts on capital availability, talent retention, and overall innovation. Over 1,400 tech leaders have signed an open letter calling for a reversal of the policy. Despite the criticism, Freeland remains undeterred, emphasizing the government’s commitment to its budgetary decisions.

To mitigate the impact of the capital gains hike, the government plans to increase the Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption and introduce the Canadian Entrepreneurs’ Incentive. These measures aim to address concerns raised by the tech sector.

In summary, while the capital gains tax changes have faced criticism, Freeland stands firm in her belief that they are necessary for Canada’s future prosperity. The government’s commitment to essential investments remains at the forefront of its decision-making process.


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