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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Israel Strikes Hezbollah Targets in Eastern Lebanon After Drone Incident



Israel has escalated its military response in eastern Lebanon following an incident where Hezbollah shot down an Israeli drone. Tensions between the two sides have been mounting, and this recent exchange of fire adds to the regional instability.

On Sunday, April 7, 2024, Hezbollah, an Iran-backed armed group, downed an Israeli unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) over Lebanese airspace. The drone in question was identified as the Israeli-made Hermes 900. In retaliation, Israel launched air strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure sites in eastern Lebanon.

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) reported that fighter jets targeted a military complex and three other infrastructure sites belonging to Hezbollah in the city of Baalbek. These strikes were a direct response to the UAV incident. Fortunately, there were no reported casualties from the attacks.

Hezbollah and Israel have been engaged in cross-border skirmishes since October 8, 2023. The conflict intensified after Hamas, a Palestinian group, launched an attack on Israel, leading to a war in Gaza. As a result, both sides have continued to trade fire, resulting in casualties and displacement of civilians.

While the U.S. and other countries advocate for a diplomatic resolution, the situation remains volatile. Hezbollah has stated that it will not cease fire until a ceasefire is implemented in Gaza. As the conflict persists, the international community closely monitors developments in the region.

In summary, the recent strikes in eastern Lebanon underscore the ongoing tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. As both sides remain entrenched, efforts to find a peaceful resolution continue amidst the backdrop of regional instability.


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