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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Israel Strikes Hezbollah Targets in Eastern Lebanon After Drone Incident



Israel has escalated its military response in eastern Lebanon following an incident where Hezbollah shot down an Israeli drone. Tensions between the two sides have been mounting, and this recent exchange of fire adds to the regional instability.

On Sunday, April 7, 2024, Hezbollah, an Iran-backed armed group, downed an Israeli unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) over Lebanese airspace. The drone in question was identified as the Israeli-made Hermes 900. In retaliation, Israel launched air strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure sites in eastern Lebanon.

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) reported that fighter jets targeted a military complex and three other infrastructure sites belonging to Hezbollah in the city of Baalbek. These strikes were a direct response to the UAV incident. Fortunately, there were no reported casualties from the attacks.

Hezbollah and Israel have been engaged in cross-border skirmishes since October 8, 2023. The conflict intensified after Hamas, a Palestinian group, launched an attack on Israel, leading to a war in Gaza. As a result, both sides have continued to trade fire, resulting in casualties and displacement of civilians.

While the U.S. and other countries advocate for a diplomatic resolution, the situation remains volatile. Hezbollah has stated that it will not cease fire until a ceasefire is implemented in Gaza. As the conflict persists, the international community closely monitors developments in the region.

In summary, the recent strikes in eastern Lebanon underscore the ongoing tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. As both sides remain entrenched, efforts to find a peaceful resolution continue amidst the backdrop of regional instability.


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