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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Israel Strikes Hezbollah Targets in Eastern Lebanon After Drone Incident



Israel has escalated its military response in eastern Lebanon following an incident where Hezbollah shot down an Israeli drone. Tensions between the two sides have been mounting, and this recent exchange of fire adds to the regional instability.

On Sunday, April 7, 2024, Hezbollah, an Iran-backed armed group, downed an Israeli unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) over Lebanese airspace. The drone in question was identified as the Israeli-made Hermes 900. In retaliation, Israel launched air strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure sites in eastern Lebanon.

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) reported that fighter jets targeted a military complex and three other infrastructure sites belonging to Hezbollah in the city of Baalbek. These strikes were a direct response to the UAV incident. Fortunately, there were no reported casualties from the attacks.

Hezbollah and Israel have been engaged in cross-border skirmishes since October 8, 2023. The conflict intensified after Hamas, a Palestinian group, launched an attack on Israel, leading to a war in Gaza. As a result, both sides have continued to trade fire, resulting in casualties and displacement of civilians.

While the U.S. and other countries advocate for a diplomatic resolution, the situation remains volatile. Hezbollah has stated that it will not cease fire until a ceasefire is implemented in Gaza. As the conflict persists, the international community closely monitors developments in the region.

In summary, the recent strikes in eastern Lebanon underscore the ongoing tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. As both sides remain entrenched, efforts to find a peaceful resolution continue amidst the backdrop of regional instability.


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