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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Market Resilience: US Futures Recover After Initial Shock from Israel-Iran Tensions


In the wake of heightened geopolitical tensions following an Israeli strike on Iranian targets, US stock market futures experienced a significant downturn. The initial reaction saw a flight to traditional safe havens, with gold prices surging and oil markets fluctuating. However, as the day progressed, a sense of stability began to return to the markets.

  • Initial Panic: The news of Israel’s retaliatory strike against Iran caused a knee-jerk reaction.
  • Safe Haven Surge: Investors rushed to gold and oil, seeking security amid the uncertainty.
  • Stabilizing Markets: Despite the early scare, US futures have started to recover, indicating a robust market resilience.
  • Investor Watchfulness: The situation remains fluid, with investors closely monitoring any further developments in the Middle East.

As the market steadies itself, the focus now shifts to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions and upcoming corporate earnings reports, which could further influence market movements. The resilience of US futures today underscores the market’s ability to weather geopolitical storms and adapt to evolving global events.

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