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The US–Iran War Is Hitting Your Wallet: What Every Canadian Needs to Know Right Now

  A conflict thousands of kilometres away has quietly become one of the biggest threats to your household budget in 2026. The war between the United States, Israel, and Iran — now stretching into its third month — is reshaping global energy markets, and Canadians are paying the price at the pump, the grocery store, and everywhere in between. $2.03 Gas/litre in parts of Canada +51¢ Average gas rise since Feb. 28 +30% Canada gas price rise Mar–Apr 20% World oil supply disrupted How We Got Here: The Strait of Hormuz Is Closed On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran in what was dubbed Operation Epic Fury , targeting military facilities, nuclear sites, and key Iranian leadership — resulting in the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Iran's response was swift and punishing: missile barrages on Israeli cities, US military bases across the Gulf, and the formal closure of the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping. The Strait of ...
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Treasuries Extend Selloff Amid Hawkish Fed Views


The world’s largest bond market is experiencing continued turbulence as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) views persist. Here are the key points:

  1. Asian Stocks Under Pressure: Asian stocks are set to open lower after US shares extended their losing streak to the longest since January. Equity futures contracts in Japan, Hong Kong, and South Korea indicate early losses, while those in Australia and China gained. Investors will closely watch Asian chipmakers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Tokyo Electron Ltd.

  2. ASML Holding NV’s Warning: Europe’s most valuable tech firm, ASML Holding NV, reported a tumble in orders during the first quarter. Its China sales are likely to be hampered by US export control measures. This news has raised concerns for semiconductor stocks.

  3. US Bond Market: Despite solid economic readings, the US bond market faces headwinds. Jerome Powell’s recent comments have dampened rate-cut expectations. However, dip buyers emerged in the Treasury market, with two-year yields dropping below 5%. A $13 billion sale of 20-year bonds also drew solid demand.

  4. Investor Sentiment: Investors remain skeptical about how much further US stocks can rally after their strong performance in the first quarter. The latest pullback occurs even as US economic data point to continued strength.

  5. Dollar and Currencies: The dollar was little changed in Asia after falling for the first time in six days. Japanese yen and Korean won have also experienced significant declines against the dollar this year.

  6. Outlook: UBS Global Wealth Management expects the yield on the 10-year US Treasury to end the year around 3.85%. The Fed’s rate cuts, though delayed, are still anticipated, leading to further bond market adjustments.

In summary, the bond market remains sensitive to Fed communications, economic data, and global events. Investors should closely monitor developments as interest rates continue to be a focal point.


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