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5 Things to Know Today — September 25, 2026

  Friday, September 25, 2026  |  moneysavings.ca/canadian-money-brief Bond yields are nearing levels not seen in nearly two decades, Iran is offering a Hormuz truce, Ottawa just posted a fresh deficit, the loonie slid to 70.74 cents, and Canadian consumers pulled back in July. Here's what each story means for your money. 01 — Interest Rates Bond Yields Hit 5.10% — and Your Mortgage Is Watching The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to approximately 5.10% overnight — a level last seen in 2007 — while the 30-year surged to around 5.43%, its highest since 2004. The spike was triggered by a combination of stronger-than-expected U.S. PMI data, hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials in New York and Philadelphia, and a weak Treasury auction. Canada's own 10-year bond yield has been tracking close behind, already at multi-year highs. Why does a U.S. number matter here? Canadian fixed mortgage rates are largely priced off the Government of Canada 5-year bond yield, which...
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Treasuries Extend Selloff Amid Hawkish Fed Views


The world’s largest bond market is experiencing continued turbulence as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) views persist. Here are the key points:

  1. Asian Stocks Under Pressure: Asian stocks are set to open lower after US shares extended their losing streak to the longest since January. Equity futures contracts in Japan, Hong Kong, and South Korea indicate early losses, while those in Australia and China gained. Investors will closely watch Asian chipmakers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Tokyo Electron Ltd.

  2. ASML Holding NV’s Warning: Europe’s most valuable tech firm, ASML Holding NV, reported a tumble in orders during the first quarter. Its China sales are likely to be hampered by US export control measures. This news has raised concerns for semiconductor stocks.

  3. US Bond Market: Despite solid economic readings, the US bond market faces headwinds. Jerome Powell’s recent comments have dampened rate-cut expectations. However, dip buyers emerged in the Treasury market, with two-year yields dropping below 5%. A $13 billion sale of 20-year bonds also drew solid demand.

  4. Investor Sentiment: Investors remain skeptical about how much further US stocks can rally after their strong performance in the first quarter. The latest pullback occurs even as US economic data point to continued strength.

  5. Dollar and Currencies: The dollar was little changed in Asia after falling for the first time in six days. Japanese yen and Korean won have also experienced significant declines against the dollar this year.

  6. Outlook: UBS Global Wealth Management expects the yield on the 10-year US Treasury to end the year around 3.85%. The Fed’s rate cuts, though delayed, are still anticipated, leading to further bond market adjustments.

In summary, the bond market remains sensitive to Fed communications, economic data, and global events. Investors should closely monitor developments as interest rates continue to be a focal point.


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