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Fed Decision Day: Oil Tops $108, Bond Yields Hit a 19-Year High — What It Means for Your Money

  All eyes are on Washington today. The Federal Reserve wraps up its two-day policy meeting this afternoon, and markets are pricing in roughly a 90–93% chance of a 25-basis-point hike — what would be the first rate increase of this cycle, as energy-driven inflation forces central banks around the world to reverse course. It comes after a rough session on both sides of the border: the TSX slipped to a one-week low, Wall Street logged its sixth decline in seven sessions, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield touched 5.04% — its highest level since 2007 — as oil held near four-month highs above $107 a barrel. Here's what moved markets overnight, and what today's decision could mean for your mortgage, your grocery bill, and your portfolio. 🇨🇦 TSX: Second Straight Decline The S&P/TSX Composite closed Tuesday at 35,582.07 , down 120.46 points (-0.34%) — its second straight losing session and lowest close in about a week. Energy was the lone bright spot as crude prices surged,...
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Anticipation and Reaction to Fed’s Rate Decision

 


As investors braced for the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision, North American stock markets experienced a mixed close. The Fed maintained its key interest rate at 5.25%-5.50%, leaving the future of rate cuts uncertain. Despite this, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dipped, while the Dow Jones and S&P/TSX Composite saw modest gains.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference offered a glimmer of hope as he dismissed the likelihood of an immediate rate hike, causing a surge in market optimism. He acknowledged the persistent issue of inflation but expressed confidence in the progress towards the 2% target.

The labor market showed signs of normalization, with job openings at a three-year low2. Meanwhile, the earnings season is more than halfway through, with a majority of S&P 500 companies surpassing consensus expectations.

In the corporate landscape, AMD’s AI chip sales forecast led to a 9% drop in its shares, while Amazon’s AI-driven cloud growth pushed its stock up by 2.2%. Johnson & Johnson plans to proceed with a multi-billion-dollar lawsuit settlement, and Starbucks faced a significant sales forecast cut.

The energy sector took a hit due to falling oil prices and a potential Middle East ceasefire, while uranium miners saw a boost from a U.S. ban on Russian imports. Canadian manufacturing activity continued to contract, reflecting ongoing economic challenges.

In summary, the market’s response to the Fed’s decision was a complex interplay of anticipation, relief, and sector-specific movements, highlighting the intricate dynamics of financial markets.

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