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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Battles Rage Around Rafah After US Halts Some Weapons to Israel

 

In the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, the southern Gaza city of Rafah has become a focal point. Here’s a brief overview of the situation:

  1. US Halts Shipment of Powerful Bombs:

    • As Israeli troops battled Hamas on the outskirts of Rafah, the United States made a significant move by halting a shipment of powerful bombs that Israel could potentially use in a full-scale assault.
    • This decision aims to prevent civilian casualties and further escalation in the region.

  2. Ceasefire Talks in Cairo:

    • Ceasefire negotiations have resumed in Cairo, with delegations from Hamas, Israel, the US, Egypt, and Qatar participating.
    • The remaining differences between Israel and Hamas are being addressed, and there is optimism that the Palestinian militant group’s latest ceasefire proposal can bridge the gaps.
    • CIA Director Bill Burns is also involved in these talks, traveling from Cairo to Israel to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and officials.

  3. Challenges and Warnings:

    • Israel declared Hamas’ three-phase proposal unacceptable due to softened terms, but the revised proposal suggests that the remaining gaps can be closed.
    • Hamas warns that continued Israeli military aggression in Rafah could jeopardize any truce agreement.
    • The situation remains tense, with both sides closely monitoring developments.

  4. Humanitarian Impact:

    • The seizure of the main border crossing between Gaza and Egypt in Rafah has cut off a vital route for aid into the enclave.
    • Hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians in Gaza are facing homelessness and hunger.

In summary, the battles in Rafah continue, and the US’s decision to halt weapon shipments underscores the urgency of finding a peaceful resolution. The world watches as negotiations unfold, hoping for a breakthrough that will spare lives and bring stability to the region.


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