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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Battles Rage Around Rafah After US Halts Some Weapons to Israel

 

In the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, the southern Gaza city of Rafah has become a focal point. Here’s a brief overview of the situation:

  1. US Halts Shipment of Powerful Bombs:

    • As Israeli troops battled Hamas on the outskirts of Rafah, the United States made a significant move by halting a shipment of powerful bombs that Israel could potentially use in a full-scale assault.
    • This decision aims to prevent civilian casualties and further escalation in the region.

  2. Ceasefire Talks in Cairo:

    • Ceasefire negotiations have resumed in Cairo, with delegations from Hamas, Israel, the US, Egypt, and Qatar participating.
    • The remaining differences between Israel and Hamas are being addressed, and there is optimism that the Palestinian militant group’s latest ceasefire proposal can bridge the gaps.
    • CIA Director Bill Burns is also involved in these talks, traveling from Cairo to Israel to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and officials.

  3. Challenges and Warnings:

    • Israel declared Hamas’ three-phase proposal unacceptable due to softened terms, but the revised proposal suggests that the remaining gaps can be closed.
    • Hamas warns that continued Israeli military aggression in Rafah could jeopardize any truce agreement.
    • The situation remains tense, with both sides closely monitoring developments.

  4. Humanitarian Impact:

    • The seizure of the main border crossing between Gaza and Egypt in Rafah has cut off a vital route for aid into the enclave.
    • Hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians in Gaza are facing homelessness and hunger.

In summary, the battles in Rafah continue, and the US’s decision to halt weapon shipments underscores the urgency of finding a peaceful resolution. The world watches as negotiations unfold, hoping for a breakthrough that will spare lives and bring stability to the region.


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