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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Battles Rage Around Rafah After US Halts Some Weapons to Israel

 

In the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, the southern Gaza city of Rafah has become a focal point. Here’s a brief overview of the situation:

  1. US Halts Shipment of Powerful Bombs:

    • As Israeli troops battled Hamas on the outskirts of Rafah, the United States made a significant move by halting a shipment of powerful bombs that Israel could potentially use in a full-scale assault.
    • This decision aims to prevent civilian casualties and further escalation in the region.

  2. Ceasefire Talks in Cairo:

    • Ceasefire negotiations have resumed in Cairo, with delegations from Hamas, Israel, the US, Egypt, and Qatar participating.
    • The remaining differences between Israel and Hamas are being addressed, and there is optimism that the Palestinian militant group’s latest ceasefire proposal can bridge the gaps.
    • CIA Director Bill Burns is also involved in these talks, traveling from Cairo to Israel to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and officials.

  3. Challenges and Warnings:

    • Israel declared Hamas’ three-phase proposal unacceptable due to softened terms, but the revised proposal suggests that the remaining gaps can be closed.
    • Hamas warns that continued Israeli military aggression in Rafah could jeopardize any truce agreement.
    • The situation remains tense, with both sides closely monitoring developments.

  4. Humanitarian Impact:

    • The seizure of the main border crossing between Gaza and Egypt in Rafah has cut off a vital route for aid into the enclave.
    • Hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians in Gaza are facing homelessness and hunger.

In summary, the battles in Rafah continue, and the US’s decision to halt weapon shipments underscores the urgency of finding a peaceful resolution. The world watches as negotiations unfold, hoping for a breakthrough that will spare lives and bring stability to the region.


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