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Bank of England Holds Rates Steady at 5.25% Ahead of UK Election
The Bank of England (BoE) has maintained its main interest rate at a 16-year high of 5.25% in anticipation of the upcoming July 4 election. While some policymakers considered a rate cut, the decision remained “finely balanced.”
The BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to keep rates unchanged, aligning with economists’ expectations. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey emphasized that it was “good news” that inflation had returned to its 2% target, but cautioned against premature rate cuts. Sterling dipped against the U.S. dollar following the announcement, and markets now anticipate an 88% chance of a quarter-point cut by September. Despite the election context, the BoE clarified that the decision was unaffected by political considerations.
The evolving economic indicators will guide future rate decisions, with most economists expecting a cut in August. However, this timing may not benefit Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, whose Conservative Party trails the opposition Labour Party in pre-election polls. The BoE’s stance reflects the delicate balance between inflation concerns and economic recovery.
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