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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Foreign Interference in Canadian Democracy: Unmasking Parliamentarians’ Involvement

 

The National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) has recently revealed a startling finding: an unknown number of federal politicians in Canada are knowingly working with hostile countries to interfere in our democracy. This report sheds light on the involvement of sitting parliamentarians in foreign interference operations, including divulging secrets to foreign governments. Here are the key points from the report:

  1. Witting or Semi-Witting Participation: The committee reviewed top-secret intelligence reports that suggested some parliamentarians are “witting or semi-witting” participants in foreign interference activities. These actions include collaborating with foreign governments to further their own interests within Canada.

  2. Ethical Concerns: While some of these activities may be illegal, they are unlikely to lead to criminal charges due to Canada’s failure to adequately protect classified information and methods in judicial processes. Regardless, the behaviors are deeply unethical and contrary to the oaths and affirmations that parliamentarians take to conduct themselves in the best interests of Canada.

  3. Gaps in Information Sharing: The report highlights serious gaps in the way Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS), the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP), and other federal security agencies share intelligence about foreign interference. These gaps occurred between 2018 and 2023, and it appears that CSIS and the information gatekeepers at Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s office did not see eye to eye.

  4. Urgency and Legislative Reforms: Prior to leaks about foreign interference activities, there was little urgency among elected officials and senior decision-makers to address this well-documented threat to national security. However, the leaks prompted the government to start considering key legislative reforms and take meaningful actions against particular states.

  5. China, India, and Iran: The report specifically mentions foreign meddling by countries like China, India, and Iran. These nations have been involved in activities that cross the line from legitimate lobbying and diplomacy into foreign interference.

In summary, this report underscores the need for vigilance in safeguarding our democratic institutions and addressing foreign interference. While the leaks were regrettable, they did prompt the government to take this issue more seriously. It’s essential that we continue to monitor and address these challenges to protect Canada’s sovereignty and democratic processes.


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