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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Foreign Interference in Canadian Democracy: Unmasking Parliamentarians’ Involvement

 

The National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) has recently revealed a startling finding: an unknown number of federal politicians in Canada are knowingly working with hostile countries to interfere in our democracy. This report sheds light on the involvement of sitting parliamentarians in foreign interference operations, including divulging secrets to foreign governments. Here are the key points from the report:

  1. Witting or Semi-Witting Participation: The committee reviewed top-secret intelligence reports that suggested some parliamentarians are “witting or semi-witting” participants in foreign interference activities. These actions include collaborating with foreign governments to further their own interests within Canada.

  2. Ethical Concerns: While some of these activities may be illegal, they are unlikely to lead to criminal charges due to Canada’s failure to adequately protect classified information and methods in judicial processes. Regardless, the behaviors are deeply unethical and contrary to the oaths and affirmations that parliamentarians take to conduct themselves in the best interests of Canada.

  3. Gaps in Information Sharing: The report highlights serious gaps in the way Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS), the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP), and other federal security agencies share intelligence about foreign interference. These gaps occurred between 2018 and 2023, and it appears that CSIS and the information gatekeepers at Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s office did not see eye to eye.

  4. Urgency and Legislative Reforms: Prior to leaks about foreign interference activities, there was little urgency among elected officials and senior decision-makers to address this well-documented threat to national security. However, the leaks prompted the government to start considering key legislative reforms and take meaningful actions against particular states.

  5. China, India, and Iran: The report specifically mentions foreign meddling by countries like China, India, and Iran. These nations have been involved in activities that cross the line from legitimate lobbying and diplomacy into foreign interference.

In summary, this report underscores the need for vigilance in safeguarding our democratic institutions and addressing foreign interference. While the leaks were regrettable, they did prompt the government to take this issue more seriously. It’s essential that we continue to monitor and address these challenges to protect Canada’s sovereignty and democratic processes.


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