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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Hot, Humid Air Fuels Thunderstorm Risk in Southern Ontario

 

As the intense heat and humidity persist, southern Ontario remains under the threat of thunderstorms. High temperatures and moisture create favorable conditions for storm development, with the risk extending into the weekend.

Heat and Humidity: Key Drivers

  • Heat Dome: The Great Lakes region is currently enveloped by a heat dome, amplifying the risk of thunderstorms.
  • Unstable Atmosphere: Thursday will see an unstable atmosphere, allowing for additional thunderstorm activity.
  • Uneven Heating: Pockets of uneven heating throughout the day, along with convergence, will determine localized storm activity.

Potential Impacts

  • Severe Storms: Some thunderstorms could become severe due to torrential rainfall and locally gusty winds.
  • Heavy Rainfall: Ample moisture in the atmosphere means heavy rain, especially if storms linger over the same location.
  • Localized Flooding: Urban areas are at risk of flash flooding as storms move slowly across.

Stay Prepared

  • Widespread Heat Warnings: Temperatures soar into the 30s, feeling even hotter with the humidex.
  • Evening and Overnight Storms: Another round of thunderstorm activity is possible during these hours.


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