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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Pressure Mounts on Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau Amid By-Election Defeat

 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is currently facing renewed pressure to step down as the leader of the Liberal Party. 

The recent by-election defeat in the Toronto-St. Paul’s riding has sparked calls for his resignation. Former Liberal minister Catherine McKenna has publicly stated that it’s time for the party to find a new leader, emphasizing the need for fresh ideas and energy. Despite this, Trudeau’s current ministers continue to stand by him, even as voters express discontent over housing and inflation.

Additionally, Liberal backbencher Wayne Long has sent an email to caucus calling for Trudeau’s resignation after the party’s loss in a traditionally Liberal riding. The situation remains tense, and Trudeau’s political future hangs in the balance. 

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