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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Pressure Mounts on Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau Amid By-Election Defeat

 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is currently facing renewed pressure to step down as the leader of the Liberal Party. 

The recent by-election defeat in the Toronto-St. Paul’s riding has sparked calls for his resignation. Former Liberal minister Catherine McKenna has publicly stated that it’s time for the party to find a new leader, emphasizing the need for fresh ideas and energy. Despite this, Trudeau’s current ministers continue to stand by him, even as voters express discontent over housing and inflation.

Additionally, Liberal backbencher Wayne Long has sent an email to caucus calling for Trudeau’s resignation after the party’s loss in a traditionally Liberal riding. The situation remains tense, and Trudeau’s political future hangs in the balance. 

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