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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Pressure Mounts on Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau Amid By-Election Defeat

 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is currently facing renewed pressure to step down as the leader of the Liberal Party. 

The recent by-election defeat in the Toronto-St. Paul’s riding has sparked calls for his resignation. Former Liberal minister Catherine McKenna has publicly stated that it’s time for the party to find a new leader, emphasizing the need for fresh ideas and energy. Despite this, Trudeau’s current ministers continue to stand by him, even as voters express discontent over housing and inflation.

Additionally, Liberal backbencher Wayne Long has sent an email to caucus calling for Trudeau’s resignation after the party’s loss in a traditionally Liberal riding. The situation remains tense, and Trudeau’s political future hangs in the balance. 

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