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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Pressure Mounts on Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau Amid By-Election Defeat

 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is currently facing renewed pressure to step down as the leader of the Liberal Party. 

The recent by-election defeat in the Toronto-St. Paul’s riding has sparked calls for his resignation. Former Liberal minister Catherine McKenna has publicly stated that it’s time for the party to find a new leader, emphasizing the need for fresh ideas and energy. Despite this, Trudeau’s current ministers continue to stand by him, even as voters express discontent over housing and inflation.

Additionally, Liberal backbencher Wayne Long has sent an email to caucus calling for Trudeau’s resignation after the party’s loss in a traditionally Liberal riding. The situation remains tense, and Trudeau’s political future hangs in the balance. 

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