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Markets Brief: Iran Deal Hopes Drive Global Rally — TSX Eyes a Strong Open | May 29, 2026

It's been a week dominated by one headline: the U.S.-Iran war and the fragile hopes of a peace deal. Heading into the long weekend, markets are ending Friday on an optimistic note, with record-setting sessions in Asia and a strong tone across North America. Here's your full wrap. Canada — TSX After a rough patch mid-week, the TSX bounced back Thursday — its first gain since Monday's record close — finishing up around 0.7% to the 34,770s range, driven largely by a blockbuster round of Big Six bank earnings. All six of Canada's largest banks beat analysts' estimates for Q2 (quarter ended April 30), raising dividends and signalling cautious optimism despite the volatile global backdrop. RBC posted a standout quarter, with its Wealth Management division up 28% year-over-year. TD Bank earned $4.25 billion in adjusted net income ($2.38/share), topping expectations, and raised its dividend. CIBC's profit surged 43%, with adjusted EPS of $2.76 beating consensus by a wid...
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S&P/TSX Composite Closes Lower Amid Broader Losses

Canada’s main stock index, the S&P/TSX composite, closed lower on Friday, echoing the trend in U.S. markets. Despite earlier gains, the S&P/TSX composite index ended down 66.37 points at 21,875.79. The decline was driven by weakness in energy and industrials sectors.

Statistics Canada reported that real gross domestic product (GDP) grew 0.3% in April, but the early read for May showed growth slowing to 0.1% for the month. Consumers in Canada appear to be pulling back, impacted by higher interest rates over the past two years. Portfolio manager Hadiza Djataou noted that consumption is taking a hit, influencing stock performance.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 45.20 points at 39,118.86, the S&P 500 index dropped 22.39 points to 5,460.48, and the Nasdaq composite fell 126.08 points to 17,732.60. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge indicated a 2.6% rise in consumer prices for May, easing from April’s 2.7% reading.

The Canadian dollar traded at 73.06 cents US, and while Canada’s GDP data didn’t significantly impact interest rate expectations, Djataou anticipates further pressure on the loonie due to diverging economic trajectories between Canada and the U.S.


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