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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Day, Fed, Loonie, Tariff Talks and OAS Boost

  Canadian Money Brief 5 Things to Know Today Wednesday, October 28, 2026 It’s a heavy day for Canadian wallets. The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision this morning, the U.S. Fed follows this afternoon, tariff talks are heating up, and bigger OAS deposits land in bank accounts. Here’s what to know. 1 The Bank of Canada decides this morning — a hike is widely expected The decision lands at 9:45 a.m. ET, along with a new Monetary Policy Report. Markets and economists expect a quarter-point increase to 2.50% from 2.25%, which would be the first hike since July 2023. Nineteen of 34 economists in a Reuters poll called for the move, and investors were pricing roughly a 75% chance on Tuesday. The case for it: inflation hit 3.1% in September, driven almost entirely by energy, even as core measures eased below 2%. What it means for you A hike would likely lift prime rates quickly, so variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs feel it first. Roughly, 0.25 points adds about $250 a year per $...

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S&P/TSX Composite Index Faces Broad-Based Decline Amidst U.S. Market Strength

 

 Canada’s main stock index, the S&P/TSX composite, closed lower on Wednesday in a broad-based decline. The subdued trading session coincided with U.S. markets being closed for the Juneteenth holiday.

The key points are as follows:

  1. Market Performance:

    • The S&P/TSX composite index closed 94.40 points lower at 21,516.90.
    • This decline continues a trend that has seen the TSX index down approximately 4.4% over the last month.
    • In contrast, the S&P 500 in New York has risen by 3.5% during the same period.
  2. Two Markets, Different Trajectories:

    • Michael Currie, senior investment adviser at TD Wealth, highlighted the divergence between U.S. and Canadian markets. While the U.S. market remains strong, Canada’s market has been weakening.
    • Currie stated, “It’s certainly not crashing by any stretch, but the general trend has been negative, and that seems to be more of what’s continuing today.”
  3. Sector Performance:

    • The industrial and health care sectors led the declines, down approximately 0.95% and 1.1%, respectively.
    • Financials were down 0.5%, and energy declined by about 0.2%.
    • The Canadian dollar traded at 72.94 cents US, slightly higher than the previous day.
  4. Bank of Canada’s Decision:

    • The Bank of Canada recently lowered its key rate for the first time in over four years. Deliberations around this decision showed some hesitancy, but markets still anticipate another rate cut in July.
    • There is concern that as rates decrease, the Canadian dollar (the loonie) may weaken against the U.S. dollar.
  5. Commodity Markets:

    • Commodity markets were also closed due to the U.S. holiday.

In summary, while the S&P/TSX composite index experienced a decline, the broader context involves contrasting market trajectories between Canada and the U.S. Investors will closely watch further developments and central bank decisions in the coming weeks.


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