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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Stock Futures Rise as Wall Street Nears the End of a High-Flying Q2

In recent weeks, the stock market has seen impressive gains, with the S&P 500 up around 4.5% and the Nasdaq surging approximately 8%. However, there are signs of fatigue, particularly for Nvidia (NVDA), which had been a standout performer.  

As we head into the last week of Q2, keep an eye on macroeconomic developments and the upcoming release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which could impact the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut decisions. Additionally, consider the valuation perspective—Nvidia’s stock trades at a premium compared to other tech giants like Microsoft and Apple.


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