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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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The 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate: A Pivotal Moment

 

 The upcoming presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is indeed a pivotal moment in the U.S. election. Here’s why:

  1. Unusual Timing: Unlike typical debates held in September or October, this one is scheduled three months earlier. Both candidates will face off at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday. This early debate provides a unique chance for voters to assess them for long, unimpeded stretches.

  2. Resetting the Trajectory: Joe Biden, trailing slightly in most surveys, aims to reset the race by proposing an early debate under specific rules to limit heckling and interruptions. If successful, it could shift the campaign dynamics.

  3. Historic Significance: Longtime Republican strategist Karl Rove called it “the most important 90 minutes of this election season.” While debates don’t typically swing elections, this one has the potential to solidify a candidate’s lead.

  4. Past Debates: The first-ever televised debates between John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon in 1960 are often remembered because they did influence the outcome. Kennedy’s telegenic performance helped turn the tide in his favor.

In summary, while debates don’t always change the game, this early face-off could be a defining moment in the 2024 U.S. election. Get your popcorn ready—it’ll be a heck of a night! 

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