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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Canada Loses Appeal of FIFA Penalty in Olympic Drone Spying Scandal

 


In a significant setback for Canadian soccer, the Court of Arbitration for Sport (CAS) has dismissed Canada’s appeal against a six-point deduction imposed by FIFA. This penalty stems from a drone-spying scandal during the Olympic women’s soccer tournament in Paris 2024.

The controversy began when New Zealand lodged a complaint, alleging that Canadian staff used drones to spy on their training sessions before their opening match. Following an investigation, FIFA docked Canada six points and imposed one-year bans on head coach Bev Priestman and officials Joseph Lombardi and Jasmine Mander.

Despite winning both of their games, the point deduction leaves Canada with zero points in the standings. The CAS ruling, delivered just hours before Canada’s crucial match against Colombia, means the team faces an uphill battle to advance to the quarterfinals.

The Canadian Olympic Committee and Canada Soccer argued that the penalty was disproportionate and unfairly punished the athletes, who were not involved in the alleged cheating. However, the CAS upheld FIFA’s decision, emphasizing the importance of maintaining the integrity of the sport.

This ruling has significant implications for Canada’s chances in the tournament and underscores the serious consequences of violating fair play principles in international sports.


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