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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Cyprus to Construct Major Naval Base to Boost Geopolitical Influence in the Mediterranean

 

Cyprus’ defense minister, Vasilis Palmas, announced plans to build a significant naval base on the southern coast of the east Mediterranean island. The base aims to host large ships from European Union countries and other nations, facilitating various missions, including humanitarian aid deliveries to the tumultuous Middle East region. This move comes as Cyprus assumes an elevated geopolitical role, being the EU’s closest member to the Middle East.

The proposed naval base will be strategically positioned to support policies geared toward the region. Recent months have seen Cyprus serve as a staging ground for collecting and delivering humanitarian aid to war-ravaged Gaza. Additionally, the base will enhance cooperation with Greece, which is contributing technical expertise to the project. The construction will be guided by expert studies and will be located approximately 25 kilometers east of the coastal town of Limassol.

This expansion reflects Cyprus’ commitment to reshaping geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean, providing a vital hub for naval operations and reinforcing alliances with allied countries. As the project unfolds, it will undoubtedly impact regional dynamics and strengthen Cyprus’ position on the global stage.


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