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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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French Government to Resign: A Caretaker Transition Amid Political Turmoil

 

French President Emmanuel Macron is poised to accept the resignation of Prime Minister Gabriel Attal and his government by the end of the day. This move comes after an inconclusive snap election, but the current administration will remain in a caretaker capacity until a new cabinet is appointed. Here’s what you need to know:

  1. Caretaker Government: Attal’s government will continue to handle emergency situations and manage current affairs in the euro zone’s second-largest economy. However, they won’t be able to propose new legislation or make significant changes. Notably, this caretaker government will oversee the smooth running of the upcoming Olympics, scheduled to begin on July 26.

  2. Left-Wing Struggles: Left-wing parties are embroiled in a bitter dispute over who should be the next prime minister. The New Popular Front (NFP), an alliance of socialists, Greens, and communists, unexpectedly topped the vote in the recent snap election. However, tensions persist over forming a left-wing government.

  3. Mainstream Alliance: President Macron has called for mainstream parties to forge an alliance, potentially including elements of the NFP but excluding France Unbowed. The urgency to find a solution is high, as Communist party leader Fabien Roussel warns of a potential “shipwreck” if consensus isn’t reached.

In summary, France faces a delicate political landscape as it navigates this caretaker transition. The fate of the next government remains uncertain, and all eyes are on the negotiations between competing factions. Stay tuned for further developments.


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