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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Investigation Continues in Trump Assassination Attempt Case

 

After conducting over 100 interviews, searching the suspect’s home and vehicle, and gaining access to his cellphone, FBI investigators are still searching for the motive behind the 20-year-old Pennsylvania man’s attempt to assassinate former President Donald Trump. 

The Pennsylvania State Police clarified that they were not responsible for securing the area where the gunman opened fire from a rooftop during a campaign rally in Butler Township, Pennsylvania. The FBI is investigating whether the shooter was a politically motivated domestic violent extremist, and they continue to analyze his electronic devices.

Additionally, the Department of Homeland Security has warned about the potential for “follow-on” or “retaliatory” acts in response to this assassination attempt. The investigation is ongoing, and authorities are focusing on understanding what drove the suspect to commit such a brazen act.

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