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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Israel Seeks to Avoid All-Out War Amid Lebanon Tensions

 

In the wake of a deadly rocket strike that killed 12 children and teenagers in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights, Israeli officials have expressed their intent to avoid escalating the situation into a full-scale war with Lebanon. The strike, which occurred over the weekend, has heightened tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, the Iran-backed militant group based in Lebanon.

Israeli officials have stated that while they aim to deliver a significant response to Hezbollah, they are keen to prevent the conflict from spiraling into a broader regional war. The Israeli security cabinet has authorized Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to determine the timing and manner of the response, with options ranging from targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure to more symbolic attacks on key facilities.

The situation remains volatile, with both sides engaging in cross-border skirmishes. An Israeli drone strike in southern Lebanon on Monday resulted in two fatalities and three injuries, including an infant. Despite these incidents, there is a concerted effort from international leaders to de-escalate the conflict. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken emphasized the importance of restraint and reiterated support for Israel’s right to defend itself while urging both parties to avoid further escalation.

As the region braces for potential retaliation, diplomatic efforts are intensifying to prevent a full-scale war that could have devastating consequences for the Middle East.



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