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5 Things to Know Today: Midterms Day, Oil Plunge, Trade Deal, Budget (Nov 3)

  Canadian Money Brief • Tuesday, November 3, 2026 It’s Election Day in the United States, oil just had its biggest one-day drop since late July, and Ottawa tables its budget on Thursday. Here are five things to know today, and what each one means for your wallet. 1. U.S. midterms: Canada is watching Americans vote in the midterm elections today. Markets are expecting Democrats to win the House of Representatives, while control of the Senate is still uncertain. Trade policy has been a campaign issue, especially in border states such as Michigan and Maine, where Republican candidates have faced pressure over tariffs that have hurt local businesses. What it means for you: The result could move the loonie, the TSX and the tariff talks over the coming days, but one election night is rarely a reason to rebuild your TFSA or RRSP. If you need to convert Canadian dollars to U.S. dollars soon, expect choppy exchange rates. 2. Oil plunges on Iran diplomacy, then bounces Oil fell sharply o...

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Market Cautious as Jobs Data Looms

                                           

US stock futures retreated today as investors cautiously weighed rate-cut odds ahead of crucial jobs data.

 Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) and S&P 500 futures (ES=F) both fell roughly 0.4%, while tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ=F) were down about 0.6%. 

The market is playing it safe in a week dominated by Friday’s June jobs report, and doubts are creeping in about stocks maintaining their first-half rally. Investors are also closely watching political risk, speculating on what a Trump election win could mean for markets. 

Jerome Powell’s speech and weekly job openings data will further shape expectations for interest-rate cuts.


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