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Canada Holds Steady: Interest Rate Pause Signals Cautious Confidence

                      The Bank of Canada also held its policy rate at its last scheduled rate announcement in December. The Bank of Canada has opted to keep its key interest rate at 2.25% , a move that underscores a careful balancing act as the country approaches a pivotal moment in North American trade relations. With CUSMA (the Canada‑United States‑Mexico Agreement) negotiations on the horizon, policymakers appear intent on maintaining stability while assessing potential economic turbulence. The decision reflects a mix of optimism and prudence. Inflation has been easing gradually, giving the central bank some breathing room. At the same time, global economic uncertainty and the high stakes of upcoming trade talks mean officials are reluctant to introduce new variables into the financial system. By holding the rate steady, the Bank of Canada signals confidence in the economy’s underlying resilience while acknowledgin...

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Market Cautious as Jobs Data Looms

                                           

US stock futures retreated today as investors cautiously weighed rate-cut odds ahead of crucial jobs data.

 Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) and S&P 500 futures (ES=F) both fell roughly 0.4%, while tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ=F) were down about 0.6%. 

The market is playing it safe in a week dominated by Friday’s June jobs report, and doubts are creeping in about stocks maintaining their first-half rally. Investors are also closely watching political risk, speculating on what a Trump election win could mean for markets. 

Jerome Powell’s speech and weekly job openings data will further shape expectations for interest-rate cuts.


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