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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Rising Tensions: Greece and Turkey’s Fighter Jet Face-Off

 

The longstanding rivalry between Greece and Turkey has escalated once again, this time fueled by the acquisition of new fighter jets by both nations. The recent developments have sparked concerns over potential military confrontations and the stability of the region.

Background

The tension between Greece and Turkey is not new. Both countries have a history of disputes over territorial waters, airspace, and the status of Cyprus. However, the latest escalation is attributed to Greece’s recent acquisition of advanced fighter jets, including the F-35s, which has been perceived by Turkey as a significant threat.

Recent Developments

In response to Greece’s military upgrade, Turkey has also moved to bolster its air force capabilities. The Biden administration recently unfroze a substantial deal to provide Turkey with 40 new F-16 fighters and modernize an additional 79 aircraft. This move is seen as a strategic balance to Greece’s new F-35s and has further intensified the arms race between the two NATO allies.

Diplomatic Reactions

The international community, particularly NATO, has expressed concern over the rising tensions. NATO officials have urged both countries to resolve their differences through diplomatic means and maintain regional stability. Despite these calls for peace, both Greece and Turkey continue to accuse each other of airspace violations and provocative actions.

Potential Implications

The ongoing military buildup and mutual distrust between Greece and Turkey could have broader implications for NATO and regional security. Experts warn that any miscalculation or accidental engagement could lead to a larger conflict, disrupting the unity and operational effectiveness of NATO.

As both nations continue to enhance their military capabilities, the international community watches closely, hoping for a peaceful resolution to avoid further escalation.


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