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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Thomas Matthew Crooks: What we know about the Trump attacker

 

Thomas Matthew Crooks is the man who shot at former US President Donald Trump during a campaign rally. Here’s what we know about him:

  1. Identity and Background:

    • Crooks, a 20-year-old nursing-home employee from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, was identified as the attacker.
    • He allegedly opened fire while Trump was addressing a crowd in Butler, Pennsylvania, leaving one audience member dead and two others critically wounded.
    • Crooks was shot dead at the scene by a Secret Service sniper.
    • Neighbors in his quiet hometown of Bethel Park are in shock, struggling to understand how a seemingly quiet young man could be involved in the shooting.
  2. Education and Political Affiliation:

    • Crooks graduated from Bethel Park High School in 2022, where he received a $500 prize for math and science.
    • State voter records show that he was a registered Republican.
    • He also donated $15 to the liberal campaign group ActBlue in 2021.
    • Crooks had not been carrying ID, so investigators used DNA to identify him.
  3. Weapon and Motive:

    • The weapon used to shoot at Trump was believed to have been purchased by Crooks’ father.
    • Suspicious devices were found in Crooks’ vehicle after the shooting.
    • Investigators are still probing his motive.

The incident shattered the nation’s illusion of security, and authorities continue to investigate the details surrounding the attack.

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