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Europe at a Crossroads: Trump’s Stark Warning in Davos

                                              A lit up sign put up over Davos ahead of President Trumps arrival At the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Donald Trump delivered a pointed critique of Europe’s current trajectory, arguing that the continent is “heading in the wrong direction.” His remarks added a sharper edge to a summit already defined by global uncertainty and competing visions for the future. Trump’s comments focused on what he described as Europe’s economic stagnation, political fragmentation, and policy choices around migration and energy. He suggested that these decisions were weakening Europe’s long‑term stability and diminishing its global influence. Framing the issue in broader terms, he emphasized that global prosperity is closely tied to American economic strength, asserting that a strong United States remains essent...
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Toronto’s Condo Crisis: A Dire Signal for Housing Affordability and Rental Market

 

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is facing a condo crisis that has significant implications for housing affordability and rental supply. According to a recent report by CIBC and Urbanation, the GTA’s condo market is “clearly in recessionary territory,” and the nationwide housing crisis is at a level not seen in over 30 years. Here are the key points:

  1. Condo Pre-Sales at a 20-Year Low: Toronto-area condo pre-sales are below 50%, marking a more than 20-year low. High costs, high interest rates, and poor investment prospects have left the market in a challenging situation.

  2. Investor Dilemma: Condo investors play a crucial role in rental supply and overall housing affordability. However, recent investors are mostly losing money, and prospective investors are avoiding new projects due to uncertainty.

  3. Developers Struggle: Developers face rising construction costs due to inflation, coupled with dwindling interest in future projects. This slowdown in future supply exacerbates the crisis.

  4. Limited Relief: Falling interest rates, projected population growth slowdown, and stabilized construction costs provide some relief. However, it’s not a magic solution, and a more comprehensive policy response is needed.

  5. Record-High Inventory: Unsold condo inventory in the second quarter of 2024 reached a record high of 25,893 units, more than 60% higher than the 10- and 20-year averages. Sales were the lowest in 20 years outside of the initial months of the COVID-19 pandemic.

In summary, Toronto’s condo market woes underscore the urgent need for housing policy reforms and creative solutions to address affordability and rental challenges.


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