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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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U.S. Urges Canada and NATO Allies to Meet 2% Defense Spending Target


The upcoming NATO Summit in Washington is set to address a pressing issue: defense spending commitments among member nations. While most allies have made strides toward meeting the 2% of GDP target, Canada remains an outlier. In this article, we explore the challenges faced by Canada and the potential consequences of failing to step up its defense investment.

Canada’s Lagging Commitment

Canada, one of NATO’s founding members, pledged in 2014 to allocate 2% of its GDP to defense spending. However, it has consistently fallen short of this goal. Unlike many other NATO countries, Canada has not only missed the 2% benchmark but also failed to allocate 20% of that spending to new equipment. This stance has frustrated allies across the board.

Allies’ Frustration

Diplomats from various NATO countries express their frustration with Canada’s lack of urgency. Despite its strong economy and historical alliance with the U.S., Canada has not prioritized defense spending. European allies, who face criticism for their own efforts, feel that Canada escapes similar pressure from Washington.

Potential Consequences

As the NATO Summit approaches, allies are expected to press Ottawa to fulfill its commitment. Failure to do so could have serious implications. Moreover, concerns arise about the potential return of Donald Trump to the White House, which might exacerbate the situation.

Conclusion

Canada’s diplomatic standing and military readiness are at stake. The NATO Summit serves as a crucial moment for Canada to address its defense spending shortfall and demonstrate its commitment to collective security.


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