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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Madeira Wildfires: A Battle Against Nature’s Fury


For the past eight days, wildfires have been spreading across the picturesque Portuguese island of Madeira, causing widespread destruction and threatening local communities. The situation remains critical as firefighters battle to contain the flames.

Key Points:

  1. Island in Crisis: Madeira, known for its lush landscapes and vibrant tourism industry, is now grappling with a disaster. The fires have consumed large swaths of forested areas, leaving behind charred landscapes and smoke-filled skies.

  2. Emergency Response: The European Union (EU) has stepped in to provide assistance. Firefighting teams from neighboring countries are joining local efforts to control the flames. Aerial firefighting resources, including water-dropping planes and helicopters, have been deployed.

  3. Evacuations: Residents and tourists have been evacuated from affected areas. Emergency shelters are providing refuge for those displaced by the fires.

  4. Environmental Impact: The fires have ecological consequences, endangering native flora and fauna. The island’s unique biodiversity is at risk.

  5. Investigation: Authorities are investigating the cause of the fires. While extreme heat and dry conditions are contributing factors, deliberate arson has not been ruled out.


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