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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Tech Stocks Rally After Inflation Data Shows Improvement

                                            

In a surprising turn of events, tech stocks led a market rally today following better-than-expected inflation data. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Inflation Eases Slightly: Despite persistent concerns about rising prices, the latest data indicates a slight easing of inflationary pressures.

  2. Consumer Price Index (CPI): The Consumer Price Index, a crucial measure of inflation, showed more favorable numbers than anticipated. This development has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates.

  3. Tech Stocks Surge: Investors cheered the news, particularly in the tech sector. Companies like Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA (NVDA) saw significant gains.

  4. Market Outlook: With inflation under control, market sentiment has improved. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) both posted strong gains.

While uncertainties remain, today’s positive data offers hope for investors. Keep an eye on further economic reports this week as the market reacts to changing conditions.






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