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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Tech Stocks Rally After Inflation Data Shows Improvement

                                            

In a surprising turn of events, tech stocks led a market rally today following better-than-expected inflation data. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Inflation Eases Slightly: Despite persistent concerns about rising prices, the latest data indicates a slight easing of inflationary pressures.

  2. Consumer Price Index (CPI): The Consumer Price Index, a crucial measure of inflation, showed more favorable numbers than anticipated. This development has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates.

  3. Tech Stocks Surge: Investors cheered the news, particularly in the tech sector. Companies like Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA (NVDA) saw significant gains.

  4. Market Outlook: With inflation under control, market sentiment has improved. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) both posted strong gains.

While uncertainties remain, today’s positive data offers hope for investors. Keep an eye on further economic reports this week as the market reacts to changing conditions.






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