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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Tech Stocks Rally After Inflation Data Shows Improvement

                                            

In a surprising turn of events, tech stocks led a market rally today following better-than-expected inflation data. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Inflation Eases Slightly: Despite persistent concerns about rising prices, the latest data indicates a slight easing of inflationary pressures.

  2. Consumer Price Index (CPI): The Consumer Price Index, a crucial measure of inflation, showed more favorable numbers than anticipated. This development has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates.

  3. Tech Stocks Surge: Investors cheered the news, particularly in the tech sector. Companies like Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA (NVDA) saw significant gains.

  4. Market Outlook: With inflation under control, market sentiment has improved. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) both posted strong gains.

While uncertainties remain, today’s positive data offers hope for investors. Keep an eye on further economic reports this week as the market reacts to changing conditions.






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