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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Wall Street Ends a Volatile Week Almost Where It Started

 

After a tumultuous week that saw sharp swings and market uncertainty, Wall Street managed to claw back some losses and finish almost where it began. Here are the key takeaways:

  1. Steady Recovery: The S&P 500 index showed resilience, gaining 0.3% on Friday. This followed its best day since 2022, and it’s now close to erasing the brutal losses suffered earlier in the week.

  2. Mixed Performance: The Dow Jones Industrial Average also edged up by 25 points (0.1%), while the Nasdaq composite rose 0.2%. Both indexes are still on track for slight weekly losses.

  3. Market Factors: The Japanese yen’s sudden strengthening caused turbulence as traders scrambled out of a popular trade. Additionally, concerns about a slowing U.S. economy weighed on investor sentiment.

  4. Upcoming Reports: Next week, investors will closely watch updates on consumer spending at U.S. retailers. These reports could drive further market swings.

In summary, Wall Street weathered a stormy week, and while uncertainties remain, it’s poised for stability as we head into the next trading days. 


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