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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Hezbollah Leader’s Death Sends Shockwaves Across the Middle East

 

The death of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah has sent shockwaves throughout Lebanon and the wider Middle East. The militant group confirmed on Saturday that Nasrallah was killed in an Israeli airstrike in a southern suburb of Beirut.

Nasrallah’s death has elicited a range of emotions across the region. In Lebanon, many supporters of Hezbollah are mourning the loss of their leader, with tears and public displays of grief. Conversely, in other parts of the Middle East, his death has been met with a mix of relief and celebration, reflecting the divisive nature of his leadership.

International reactions have also been polarized. U.S. President Joe Biden described the killing as “a measure of justice for his many victims,” while Iran’s Supreme Leader condemned the airstrike, calling it an "Israeli massacre".

Nasrallah had been a prominent figure in Middle Eastern politics for decades, known for his staunch opposition to Israel and his influence over Hezbollah’s military and political strategies. His death marks a significant turning point in the region’s geopolitical landscape, with potential implications for future conflicts and alliances.


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